Probability mass function
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In probability and statistics, a probability mass function (PMF) is a function that gives the probability that a discrete random variable is exactly equal to some value. The probability mass function is often the primary means of defining a discrete probability distribution, and such functions exist for either scalar or multivariate random variables whose domain is discrete.
A probability mass function differs from a probability density function (PDF) in that the latter is associated with continuous rather than discrete random variables; the values of the probability density function are not probabilities as such: a PDF must be integrated over an interval to yield a probability.
The value of the random variable having the largest probability mass is called the mode.
Thinking of probability as mass helps to avoid mistakes since the physical mass is conserved as is the total probability for all hypothetical outcomes :
When there is a natural order among the potential outcomes , it may be convenient to assign numerical values to them (or n-tuples in case of a discrete multivariate random variable) and to consider also values not in the image of . That is, may be defined for all real numbers and for all as shown in the figure.
The image of has a countable subset on which the probability mass function is one. Consequently, the probability mass function is zero for all but a countable number of values of .
The discontinuity of probability mass functions is related to the fact that the cumulative distribution function of a discrete random variable, when it is meaningful because there is a natural ordering, is also discontinuous. Where it is differentiable, the derivative is zero, just as the probability mass function is zero at all such points. If x is a discrete random variable, then means that the casual event is certain (it is true in the 100% of the occurrencies); on the contrary, means that the casual event is always impossible. This statement isn't true for a continuous random variable X, for which for any possible x: infact, by definition, a continuous random variable can have an infinite set of possible values and thus the probability it has a single particular value x is equal to . Discretization is the process of converting a continuous random variable into a discrete one.
Measure theoretic formulationEdit
A probability mass function of a discrete random variable can be seen as a special case of two more general measure theoretic constructions: the distribution of and the probability density function of with respect to the counting measure. We make this more precise below.
Suppose that is a probability space and that is a measurable space whose underlying σ-algebra is discrete, so in particular contains singleton sets of . In this setting, a random variable is discrete provided its image is countable. The pushforward measure —called a distribution of in this context—is a probability measure on whose restriction to singleton sets induces a probability mass function since for each .
Now suppose that is a measure space equipped with the counting measure μ. The probability density function of with respect to the counting measure, if it exists, is the Radon–Nikodym derivative of the pushforward measure of (with respect to the counting measure), so and is a function from to the non-negative reals. As a consequence, for any we have
demonstrating that is in fact a probability mass function.
- If the discrete distribution has two or more categories one of which may occur, whether or not these categories have a natural ordering, when there is only a single trial (draw) this is a categorical distribution.
- Suppose that is the sample space of all outcomes of a single toss of a fair coin, and is the random variable defined on assigning 0 to the category "tails" and 1 to the category "heads". Since the coin is fair, the probability mass function is
- This is a special case of the binomial distribution, the Bernoulli distribution.
- An example of a multivariate discrete distribution, and of its probability mass function, is provided by the multinomial distribution. Here the multiple random variables are the numbers of successes in each of the categories after a given number of trials, and each non-zero probability mass gives the probability of a certain combination of numbers of successes in the various categories.
- The following exponentially declining distribution is an example of a distribution with an infinite number of possible outcomes—all the positive integers:
- Despite the infinite number of possible outcomes, the total probability mass is 1/2 + 1/4 + 1/8 + ... = 1, satisfying the unit total probability requirement for a probability distribution.
Two or more discrete random variables have a joint probability mass function, which gives the probability of each possible combination of realizations for the random variables.
- Stewart, William J. (2011). Probability, Markov Chains, Queues, and Simulation: The Mathematical Basis of Performance Modeling. Princeton University Press. p. 105. ISBN 978-1-4008-3281-1.
- Probability Function at Mathworld
- Rao, S.S. (1996). Engineering optimization: theory and practice. John Wiley & Sons. p. 717. ISBN 978-0-471-55034-1.