Opinion polling for the 2019 Tunisian presidential election

Polling for the next Tunisian presidential election, which will take place on 15 September 2019, with a runoff on 13 October 2019.

Second roundEdit

PollsEdit

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Karoui
QT
Saïed

First roundEdit

PollsEdit

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Chahed
TT
Karoui
QT
Saïed
Moussi
PDL
Marzouki
MTV
M. Abbou
CD
Jomaa
AE
Hammami
FP
Saïd
Marzouk
MT
Mraïhi
Aïdi
BW
Hamdi
CA
Makhlouf
Jalloul
NT
Jebali
Riahi
Mourou
ME
Zbidi
Emrhod Consulting 15 September 2019 8.71% 15.26% 18.95% 4.59% 2.95% 3.38% 1.56% 1.27% 7.66% 5.15% 0.8% 3.79% 0.38% 12.59% 9.9%
Sigma Conseil 15 September 2019 38 900 7.5% 15.5% 19.5% 5.1% 3.1% 4.3% 0.2% 1.7% 7.4% 0.3% 5.8% 0.3% 0.4% 4% 0.3% 0.2% 11% 9.4%
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Chahed
TT
Karoui
QT
Saïed
Moussi
PDL
Marzouki
MTV
M. Abbou
CD
Jomaa
AE
Hammami
FP
Saïd
Marzouk
MT
Morjane
TT
Aïdi
BW
Hamdi
CA
Zenaidi
Jalloul
NT
Jebali
Riahi
Chebbi
MD
Zbidi
25 July 2019 The Independent High Authority for Elections moves up the election and runoff dates from 17 November 2019 and 24 November 2019 to 15 September 2019 and 22 September 2019 respectively in order to find a successor in accordance with the 90-day interim presidency period called for by the Constitution
25 July 2019 Beji Caid Essebsi passes away in office at the age of 92; Mohamed Ennaceur sworn in as Interim President of Tunisia on a 90-day interim basis
23 July 2019 Abdelkarim Zbidi announces that he will not run for the election[1]
16 July 2019 Electoral period begins; no further polls are allowed
Emrhod Consulting 10–13 July 2019 1200 7.8% 23% 14% 5.2% 3.1% 2.8% 2.6% 1.4% 2% 1.6% 1% 1%
Sigma Conseil[2] 3–9 July 2019 2056 7% 23% 20% 12% 7% 5% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 3%
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Chahed
TT
Karoui
QT
Saïed
Moussi
PDL
Marzouki
MTV
M. Abbou
CD
Jomaa
AE
Hammami
FP
Saïd
Marzouk
MT
Morjane
IND then TT
S. Abbou
CD
Ghannouchi
ME
Caid Essebsi
NT
Aïdi
BW
Hamdi
CA
Brahim
AT
Zenaidi
Jalloul
NT
Jebali
Riahi
Chebbi
MD
23 June 2019 Yassine Brahim announces that he will not run for the election[3]
18 June 2019 Amendments to the electoral law approved by the ARP[4]
Emrhod Consulting 14–17 June 2019 1200 5.8% 26.5% 15.2% 5% 1.5% 2.3% 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 1.2% 1.9%
Benchmark Consulting June 2019 1002 10.1% 7.9% 19.2% 11.6% 5.6% 6.8% 2.1% 1%
Sigma Conseil 1–8 June 2019 2706 7.4% 23.8% 23.2% 10.8% 6.3% 6.6% 3.9% 1.8% 1% 0.9% 4% 1.6% 1.8% 1% 0.9% 1.4%
Benchmark Consulting[5] 2–6 May 2019 9.5% 17.5% 14.3% 4.4% 10.7% 5.9% 2.7% 2.7% 2.1%
Sigma Conseil[6] 2–3 May 2019 787 7.4% 21.8% 22.4% 12.4% 4.5% 4.5% 3.4% 0.8% 3.8% 4% 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 1.8% 1.3%
Elka Consulting[7] 29 April - 3 May 2019 1216 4% 32% 17% 6% 7% 3% 3% 2% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Emrhod Consulting 27–30 April 2019 1000 9.8% 8.1% 7.5% 5.2% 3.2% 2.8% 2.4% 1.6% 1.2% 1% 1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
6 April 2019 Beji Caid Essebsi announces that he will not seek re-election[8]
Emrhod Consulting 27–29 March 2019 1500 14.6% 0.2% 13.3% 5.7% 2.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
IIEOP and FSSA[9] March 2019 20% 19.2% 7.4% 9.2% 5.2% 4% 12.5% 5.7%
Sigma Conseil[10] March 2019 19.3% 1.3% 12.1% 7.1% 11.7% 4.7% 5.3% 6.7% 2.8% 2.3% 1.9% 3.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.6%
Emrhod Consulting 22–24 February 2019 1054 13.7% 4.4% 4.6% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 1.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.7% 2.4% 1.1% 4.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
16 February 2019 Samia Abbou announces that she will not run for the election[11]
Sigma Conseil 11–14 February 2019 805 13.8% 5.6% 1.2% 4% 1.1% 1.3% 2% 1.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
12 January 2019 Rached Ghannouchi announces that he will not run for the election[12]
Emrhod Consulting 24–26 December 2018 1027 8% 4.8% 0.5% 3.8% 2.5% 0.9% 1.8% 3.2% 0.3% 1.2% 2.7% 0.8% 6.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 0.5%
IIEOP and FSSA[13] 21–25 December 2018 1203 16.6% 14.4% 12% 14.2%
Emrhod Consulting 16–19 November 2018 965 11.8% 0.4% 0.2% 6.2% 3.7% 1% 1.5% 1.8% 1% 2% 2.1% 0.5% 8.6% 0.2% 1% 1.2% 0.3%
Election results 23 November 2014 N/A 33.43% N/A 7.82% 0.80% N/A 1.27% N/A 39.46% N/A 5.75% N/A 0.74% N/A 5.55% 1.04%

See alsoEdit

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ Laameri Dorsaf (23 July 2019). "Tunisie-Abdelkarim Zbidi nie sa candidature à la présidentielle". Tunisie Numerique (in French). Retrieved 24 July 2019.
  2. ^ "Sigma Conseil: Nabil karoui en tête des intentions de vote pour la présidentielle". nessma.tv (in French). 10 July 2019. Retrieved 11 July 2019.
  3. ^ LM (23 June 2019). "Tunisie – Yassine Brahim non concerné par les prochaines élections". Tunisie Numerique (in French). Retrieved 8 July 2019.
  4. ^ Frédéric Bobin; Mohamed Haddad; Lilia Blaise (19 June 2019). "En Tunisie, une nouvelle loi électorale enfièvre la scène politique". LeMonde.fr (in French). Retrieved 20 June 2019.
  5. ^ Noureddine Hlaoui (14 May 2019). "Selon un baromètre de Benchmark Consulting – Confirmation d'Abir Moussi à la hausse". Univers News (in French). Retrieved 17 June 2019.
  6. ^ Zied Krichen (6 May 2019). "خاص: نوايا التصويت في الانتخابات التشريعية والرئاسية ماي 2019: الزلزال". lemaghreb.tn (in Arabic). Retrieved 15 June 2019.
  7. ^ "Selon Elka, Nabil Karoui en tête des intentions de votes". tuniscope.com (in French). 18 May 2019. Retrieved 15 June 2019.
  8. ^ "Tunisia's Essebsi announces decision not to seek presidential re-election". china.org.cn. 7 April 2019. Retrieved 15 June 2019.
  9. ^ Maher Chaabane (27 March 2019). "Tunisie : Le duo Youssef Chahed – Kais Saied, reste le favori des sondages". webdo.tn (in French). Retrieved 15 June 2019.
  10. ^ Zied Krichen (19 March 2019). "خاص: نوايا التصويت في الانتخابات التشريعية والرئاسية". lemaghreb.tn (in Arabic). Retrieved 15 June 2019.
  11. ^ LM (16 February 2019). "Tunisie – AUDIO : Samia Abbou candidate aux présidentielles ?". Tunisie Numerique (in French). Retrieved 15 June 2019.
  12. ^ "Leader of majority party not to run for 2019 Tunisia presidential election". china.org.cn. 13 January 2019. Retrieved 15 June 2019.
  13. ^ "Tunisie: en cas de présidentielles, le chef du gouvernement Youssef Chahed le mieux placé (sondage)". french.china.org.cn (in French). 9 January 2019. Retrieved 15 June 2019.