Parliamentary elections will be held in Kosovo no later than 2025. If the full four year term of the incumbent Assembly is completed, the election will be held on a Sunday and not earlier than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the end of the mandate.[1]
 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 120 seats in the Assembly 61 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Background edit
In the 2021 elections Lëvizja Vetëvendosje (LVV) won 58 seats.[2] They created a coalition with minority parties, including the Serb List, to form a Government.[3]
Date edit
The Constitution and the Law on General Elections provide that parliamentary elections must be held on a Sunday no earlier than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the end of the four-year mandate of the Assembly, unless it is dissolved earlier.[4] The 8th and current Legislature of the Assembly was constituted on 22 March 2021. Therefore, the next election has to take place on one of the following possible dates:
- 26 January 2025
- 2 February 2025
- 9 February 2025
- 16 February 2025
The exact date will be determined by the president no earlier than 6 months and no later than 4 months before the date of the election. Parliamentary elections can be held earlier under four scenarios described by the constitution.
- If the Government cannot be formed within the period of sixty (60) days from the date of appointment of the candidate for Prime Minister by the President of the Republic of Kosovo;
- If two-thirds (2/3) of all deputies vote for the dissolution of the Assembly, the dissolution is done by decree of the President of the Republic of Kosovo;
- If within the period of sixty (60) days from the day of the start of the election procedure, the President of the Republic of Kosovo is not elected.
- In case of a successful vote of no confidence in the Government, The Assembly can be dissolved by the President of the Republic of Kosovo.[5]
In all cases, parliamentary elections would have to take place on a Sunday no earlier than 30 days and no later than 45 days after the dissolution.[5]
Electoral system edit
The 120 members of the Assembly of Kosovo are elected by open list proportional representation, with 20 seats reserved for national minorities.[6] An electoral threshold of 5% is in place for non-minority parties. Seats are allocated using the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.[7] To form a government, a party or coalition must have a majority of 61 MPs out of 120 seats in the Assembly of Kosovo.
Opinion polls edit
Graphic representation edit
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
National polls edit
| Pollster | Date | LVV | LDK | PDK | AAK-NISMA-CL (Coalition) | SL | Other | Abstention | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVV | A | Guxo | LDK | AKR | AAK | NISMA | CLK | |||||||
| 5 April 2024 | 49.5 | – | 0.6 | 16 | – | 17.1 | 6.9 | 5.6 | 4.3 | – | 32.4 | |||
| 27 March 2024 | Bedri Hamza is nominated by the Democratic Party of Kosovo for Prime Minister | |||||||||||||
| 22 February 2024 | 40.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 21.5 | – | 20.4 | 9.0 | – | 0.4 | 4.6 | 19.4 | |||
| 17 January 2024 | AAK, Social Democratic NISMA and Conservative List of Kosovo form an electoral alliance | |||||||||||||
| UBO | 16–23 December 2023 | 48.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 17.9 | – | 18.2 | 6.8 | 1.5 | – | 3.2 | 3.0 | – | 30.3 |
| UBO | 23 December 2022 | 42.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 19.8 | 0.2 | 19 | 7.3 | 2 | – | 4.3 | 3.4 | – | 22.8 |
| PIPOS | December 2022 | 35.5 | – | 1 | 22.2 | 0.4 | 21.5 | 6 | 2.4 | – | – | 0.2 | – | 13.3 |
| UBO | September 2022 | 37.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 22.3 | 0.3 | 21.7 | 7.7 | 1.2 | – | 5.1 | 2.1 | – | 15 |
| PIPOS | August 2022 | 33.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 21.6 | 0.2 | 18.3 | 10.1 | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | 11.6 |
| PIPOS | 7 July 2022 | 38.1 | – | 1.2 | 25.1 | – | 21.3 | 11.9 | 2.1 | – | – | – | – | 13 |
| UBO | 18 June 2022 | 39.6 | – | 1.3 | 20.3 | – | 21.9 | 6.7 | 1.9 | – | 4.2 | 3.5 | – | 17.7 |
| UBO | May 2022 | 38.3 | – | – | 17.7 | – | 19.7 | 6.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 18.6 |
| UBO | 7–15 March 2022 | 41.9 | – | 1.1 | 19.4 | 0.4 | 21.6 | 7.2 | 1 | – | 4.2 | 2.8 | – | 20.3 |
| PIPOS | 12 February 2022 | 34.7 | – | – | 24.1 | – | 21.3 | 7.7 | 0.4 | – | – | 0.5 | – | 10.6 |
| 2021 election | 14 February 2021 | 50.3 | 12.73 | 17.01 | 7.2 | 2.52 | – | 5.09 | – | – | 33.29 | |||
Seat projections edit
The projections below are calculated according to the opinion polls from above.
| Date | LVV | LDK | PDK | AAK | SL | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 2024 | 56 | 18 | 19 | 7[b] | 10 | 10 | 37 |
| February 2024 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 10[b] | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| December 2023 | 53 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33 |
| January 2023 | 48 | 22 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 26 |
| December 2022 | 42 | 26 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| September 2022 | 42 | 25 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 17 |
| August 2022 | 40 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| July 2022 | 40 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| June 2022 | 44 | 23 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 19 |
| May 2022 | 47 | 21 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 23 |
| March 2022 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| February 2022 | 40 | 27 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 13 |
Leadership approval edit
| Pollster | Date | Kurti | Abdixhiku | Krasniqi | Haradinaj | Limaj | Osmani | Pacolli | Kusari-Lila | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIPOS | February 2024 | 3.07 | 2.13 | 2.05 | 1.89 | 1.65 | 3.06 | – | – | 0.01 |
| PIPOS | December 2022 | 26.7 | 20 | 17 | 7.2 | 2.9 | 11.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 6.7 |
| PIPOS | August 2022 | 2.98 | 2.92 | 2.60 | 2.38 | 2.13 | 3.37 | 2.33 | 2.31 | 0.39 |
| PIPOS | February 2022 | 28.9 | 18.6 | 13.3 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 7.3 | 0.5 | – | 10.3 |
Albin Kurti edit
The polls below asked voters for their opinion of Albin Kurti, prime minister of Kosovo since March 2021.
| Pollster | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNDP | 28 February 2024 | 48.9 | 51.1 | -2.6 |
| UNDP | 25 April 2023 | 51.5 | 48.5 | 3.0 |
Glauk Konjufca edit
The polls below asked voters for their opinion of Glauk Konjufca, chairman of Assembly of the Republic of Kosovo since March 2021.
| Pollster | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNDP | 28 February 2024 | 52.2 | 47.8 | 4.7 |
| UNDP | 25 April 2023 | 58.3 | 41.7 | 16.6 |
- ^ Although Memli Krasniqi is leader of the PDK, Bedri Hamza will be its candidate for Prime Minister
- ^ a b AAK-NISMA-CL coalition
References edit
- ^ Constitution of Kosovo p.6
- ^ ndi.org
- ^ prishtinainsight.com
- ^ Constitution of Kosovo p.6
- ^ a b "THE LAW ON GENERAL ELECTIONS IN THE REPUBLIC OF KOSOVO" (PDF). Retrieved 27 December 2023.
This article incorporates text from this source, which is in the public domain.
- ^ Kosovo IFES
- ^ Law No. 03/L-073 on General Elections in the Republic of Kosovo, Article 111.2
