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Havering and Redbridge (London Assembly constituency)

Havering and Redbridge is a territorial constituency represented on the London Assembly by one Assembly Member (AM). The constituency was created in 2000 at the same time as the London Assembly and has elections every four years. It consists of the combined area of the London Borough of Havering and the London Borough of Redbridge. The current assembly member is Keith Prince of the Conservative Party who was first elected in 2016.

Havering and Redbridge
Territorial constituency for the London Assembly
Havering and Redbridge shown within London.PNG
Havering and Redbridge shown within London
Created2000 (2000)
Number of membersOne
MemberKeith Prince
PartyConservative
Last election2016
Next election2020

Constituency profileEdit

Created in 2000, Havering and Redbridge has elected only Conservative AMs to date. The current AM is Keith Prince, first elected in 2016.

The Conservative win upon its creation in 2000 was somewhat unexpected, as at that point, the vast majority of the area it covers (excluding two Redbridge wards that fall under the Chingford and Woodford Green parliamentary seat) was represented by Labour MPs. However, the Romford and Upminster constituencies were among the very small number of seats that the Conservatives gained from Labour at the subsequent general election of 2001.

In line with this, the Conservative majority increased here in 2004, while the trend towards the Conservatives in this area of London continued in the 2005 general election result, which saw the Conservatives winning increased majorities in the two seats they already held, whilst also gaining the constituencies of Hornchurch and Ilford North from Labour. Consequently, this London Assembly seat became very safe for the Conservatives in the 2008 election, where they got more than twice as many votes as Labour.

The seat has, however, become extremely marginal in recent years, following a swing of almost 12% to Labour in the 2012 election. This swing against the Conservatives preluded Labour gaining a majority on Redbridge Council in 2014 for the first time since its creation, the Conservatives losing overall control on Havering Council and Labour gaining the Ilford North seat back from the Conservatives at the 2015 general election. The seat became slightly more marginal in 2016, but it was not enough for Labour to gain it.

Assembly membersEdit

Election resultsEdit

2016 London Assembly election: Havering and Redbridge[1]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Conservative Keith Prince 64,483 37.7 +0.1
Labour Ivana Bartoletti 63,045 36.9 +2.1
UKIP Lawrence Webb 26,788 15.7 +9.0
Green Lee Burkwood 9,617 5.6 +1.9
Liberal Democrat Ian Sanderson 7,105 4.1 -0.4
Majority 1,438 0.8 -1.9
Total formal votes 171,038 99 +0.4
Informal votes 1768 1 -0.4
Turnout 172,806 45 +8.1
2012 London Assembly election: Havering and Redbridge[2]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Conservative Roger Evans 53,285 37.6 -10.1
Labour Mandy Richards 49,346 34.8 +13.3
UKIP Lawrence Webb 9,471 6.7 -0.7
Residents' Association of London Malvin Brown 8,239 5.8 N/A
Liberal Democrat Farrukh Islam 6,435 4.5 -3.0
BNP Robert Taylor 5,234 3.7 N/A
Green Haroon Said 5,207 3.7 -1.9
English Democrat Mark Twiddy 2,573 1.8 -2.1
National Front Richard Edmonds 1,936 1.4 N/A
Majority 3,939 2.7 -22.9
Total formal votes 141,726 98.6
Informal votes 1,993 1.4
Turnout 143,759 36.9 -8.6
2008 London Assembly election: Havering and Redbridge[3]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Conservative Roger Evans 78,493 46.7 +13.1
Labour Balvinder Saund 35,468 21.1 –0.6
Liberal Democrat Farrukh Islam 12,443 7.4 –6.8
UKIP Lawrence Webb 12,203 7.3 –6.9
Green Ashley Gunstock 9,126 5.4 +0.7
English Democrat Leo Brookes 6,487 3.9 N/A
Christian (Christian Peoples) Paula Warren 5,533 3.3 +1.0
Independent Peter Thorogood 3,450 2.1 +0.9
Left List Carole Vincent 1,473 0.9 N/A
Majority 43,025 25.6 +12.7
Turnout 167,922 45.5 +8.6
Conservative hold Swing
2004 London Assembly election: Havering and Redbridge[4]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Conservative Roger Evans 44,723 34.6 –3.0
Labour Keith Darvill 28,017 21.7 –8.3
UKIP Lawrence Webb 18,297 14.2 N/A
Liberal Democrat Matthew Lake 13,646 10.6 –2.3
Residents' Association of London Malvin Brown 6,925 5.4 –6.4
Green Ashley Gunstock 6,009 4.7 –1.6
Respect Abdurahman Jafar 5,185 4.0 N/A
Christian Peoples Juliet Hawkins 2,917 2.3 N/A
Third Way David Stephens 2,031 1.6 N/A
Independent Peter Thorogood 1,597 1.2 N/A
Majority 16,706 12.9 +5.4
Turnout 129,347 36.9 +6.1
Conservative hold Swing
2000 London Assembly election: Havering and Redbridge[5]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Conservative Roger Evans 40,919 37.5 N/A
Labour Chris Robbins 32,650 30.0 N/A
Liberal Democrat Geoffrey Seeff 14,028 12.9 N/A
Havering Residents Association Ian Wilkes 12,831 11.8 N/A
Green Ashley Gunstock 6,803 6.2 N/A
London Socialist George Taylor 1,744 1.6 N/A
Majority 8,269 7.5 N/A
Turnout 108,975 30.8 N/A
Conservative hold Swing N/A

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ http://www.londonelects.org.uk/download/file/fid/477
  2. ^ http://www.londonelects.org.uk/download/file/fid/484
  3. ^ "BBC NEWS | Election 2008 | London Elections: Havering & Redbridge". news.bbc.co.uk.
  4. ^ "Greater London Authority Election Results". www.election.demon.co.uk.
  5. ^ London & Local Elections 2000: Havering and Redbridge, BBC News