File:Limiting global warming to 2 degrees Celsius - options to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (PBL).png

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English: This image shows two graphs. The graphs show how global warming could be limited to below 2 degrees Celsius, relative to the pre-industrial level.

Greenhouse gas emissions

The graph on the left shows how global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (measured in carbon-dioxide equivalents, CO2e) need to be reduced to around 20-25 gigatonnes (Gt) CO2e per year, by 2050 (PBL, 2012, p.156). This is equivalent to a reduction in 2050 of between 40-60%, compared to 1990 emissions levels (PBL, 2012, p.157).

The graph shows how emissions are projected to grow in a trend scenario to 60-70 GtCO2e per year, by 2050 (PBL, 2012, p.156). Under the trend scenario, global temperature in 2100 would increase by 2.5-5 °C (PBL, 2012, p.156). In other words, meeting the 2 °C target would require drastic emissions reductions compared to the trend scenario.

Contribution to cumulative emission reduction, 2010-2050

The graph on the right shows how the 2 °C target might be achieved. The graph shows three "pathways" to meet the 2 °C target, labelled "global technology", "decentralised solutions", and "consumption change". Each pathway shows how various measures could contribute to emissions reductions. These are:

For all three pathways, (B), (G) and (H) all make significant contributions to emissions reductions.

Below are the approximate contributions of (A)-(H) to the three pathways. Units are the percentage contribution to cumulative emission reduction between 2010-2050. The first number is the "global technology" pathway, the second "decentralised solutions," and the third "consumption change."

  • (A) 14, 8, 13
  • (B) 24, 25, 26
  • (C) 3, 2.5, 2.5
  • (D) 12, 1, 1.5
  • (E) 8, 7, 8
  • (F) 4, 12, 6
  • (G) 20, 17, 18.5
  • (H) 17, 27, 25
Date
Source Figure 6.14, in: PBL Netherlands Environment Agency (15 June 2012), “Chapter 6: The energy and climate challenge”, in van Vuuren, D. and M. Kok, editors, Roads from Rio+20[1], ISBN 978-90-78645-98-6, p.177, Report no: 500062001. Report website.
Author PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
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This is a retouched picture, which means that it has been digitally altered from its original version. Modifications: Graph titled: "Contribution to cumulative emission reduction, 2010-2050": (1) Added text labels and arrows (2) corrected spelling mistake ("gobal" to "global").

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current08:08, 28 May 2013Thumbnail for version as of 08:08, 28 May 20131,471 × 1,604 (51 KB)Enescot{{Information |Description ={{en|1=This image shows two graphs. The graphs show how global warming could be limited to below 2 degrees Celsius, relative to the pre-industrial level. ''Greenhouse gas emissions'' The graph on ...
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