Dutch general election, 2017
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Strongest political party by municipality
This was the first election called because of completion of the previous government's four-year term (rather than the resignation of the cabinet) since 2002. The 2012 elections had resulted in a ruling coalition of Prime Minister Mark Rutte's People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) and the Labour Party (PvdA). Because the second Rutte cabinet lacked a majority in the Senate, it relied on the support of Democrats 66 (D66), the Christian Union (CU) and the Reformed Political Party (SGP).
Preliminary results and exit polls for the 2017 election showed that the VVD lost some seats, but retained their position as largest party, while the PvdA saw a massive loss in vote share and seats, failing to win a single municipality for the first time in the party's history. The Party for Freedom (PVV) made gains to reach second place, with the CDA, D66 and GroenLinks also increasing their number of seats. At least four partners will be needed for a coalition with a parliamentary majority. The official election results were certified and published on 21 March. The elected MPs took their seats on 23 March.
Electoral system and organisationEdit
The House of Representatives, or Second Chamber (Tweede Kamer) is composed of 150 seats elected by proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency, with a legal threshold of 1 full seat (0.67%), and residuals assigned by the D'Hondt method. Electronic voting has been banned since 2007 and votes must be cast with a red pencil.
Following reports from the General Intelligence and Security Service (AIVD) that Russian hacking groups Fancy Bear and Cozy Bear had made several attempts to hack into Dutch ministries, including the Ministry of General Affairs, to gain access to secret government documents, Dutch Minister of the Interior and Kingdom Relations Ronald Plasterk announced that votes for the election would be processed by hand, although that decision was later reversed.
The 2017 Dutch-Turkish diplomatic incident happened less than a week before the elections, with speculation that this benefited the prime minister's party (VVD), as Rutte's response to the incident was well-received.
|Dutch general election debates, 2017|
|Date||Organisers||Venue||P Present NI Non-invitee A Absent invitee||Notes|
|26 February||RTL Nieuws||De Rode Hoed||P||NI||NI||P||P||P||A||NI||P||A|||
|5 March||BNR Nieuwsradio / RTL Nieuws / Elsevier||Carré Theatre||P||P||P||P||P||P||P||A||P||A|||
|13 March||EenVandaag||Erasmus University||NI||NI||NI||NI||NI||NI||P||NI||NI||P|||
|14 March||NOS||House of Representatives||P||P||P||P||P||P||P||P||P||P|||
Polls showed a precipitous collapse for both the VVD and PvdA following their decision to form a coalition government together after the 2012 elections, with support for the latter splitting among other left-wing or liberal parties. As with other right-wing populist parties, the Party for Freedom (PVV) rose in polls during the European migrant crisis, with the party topping polls from September 2015 through to late February 2017. However, in the relative absence of Geert Wilders during the campaign – notably refusing to participate in both RTL debates – support for the PVV collapsed, and the VVD secured a narrow lead in the final weeks before the election.
|2012–2017 polling graphs|
The seat projections in the graphs below are continuous from September 2012 (the last general election) up to the current date. Each colored line specifies a political party; numbers on the vertical axis represent numbers of seats. These seat estimates are derived from estimates by Peilingwijzer ("polling indicator") by Tom Louwerse, a professor of political science at Leiden University; they are not strictly polling averages, but the results of a model calculating a "trajectory" for each party based on changes in support over time in between polls conducted by I&O Research, Ipsos, TNS NIPO, LISS panel, Peil, and De Stemming, and adjusting for the house effects of each individual pollster.
Preliminary results were published on 15 March, and the official result was announced at 16:00 CET on 21 March.
|People's Party for Freedom and Democracy||VVD||Mark Rutte||2,238,351||21.3||−5.3||33||−8|
|Party for Freedom||PVV||Geert Wilders||1,372,941||13.1||+3.0||20||+5|
|Christian Democratic Appeal||CDA||Sybrand Buma||1,301,796||12.4||+3.9||19||+6|
|Democrats 66||D66||Alexander Pechtold||1,285,819||12.2||+4.2||19||+7|
|Socialist Party||SP||Emile Roemer||955,633||9.1||−0.6||14||−1|
|Labour Party||PvdA||Lodewijk Asscher||599,699||5.7||−19.1||9||−29|
|Christian Union||CU||Gert-Jan Segers||356,271||3.4||+0.3||5||+0|
|Party for the Animals||PvdD||Marianne Thieme||335,214||3.2||+1.3||5||+3|
|Reformed Political Party||SGP||Kees van der Staaij||218,950||2.1||+0.0||3||+0|
|Forum for Democracy||FvD||Thierry Baudet||187,162||1.8||New||2||+2|
|For Netherlands||VNL||Jan Roos||38,209||0.4||New||0||–|
|Pirate Party||PP||Ancilla van de Leest||35,478||0.3||+0.0||0||–|
|Article 1||A1||Sylvana Simons||28,700||0.3||New||0||–|
|Nieuwe Wegen||NiWe||Jacques Monasch||14,362||0.1||New||0||–|
|Entrepreneurs' Party||OP||Hero Brinkman||12,570||0.1||New||0||–|
|Lokaal in de Kamer||LidK||Jan Heijman||6,858||0.1||New||0||–|
|The Civil Movement||DBB||Ad Vlems||5,221||0.1||New||0||–|
|Jezus Leeft||JL||Florens van der Spek||3,099||0.0||New||0||–|
|Free-Minded Party||VP||Norbert Klein||2,938||0.0||New||0||–|
|Libertarian Party||LP||Robert Valentine||1,492||0.0||+0.0||0||–|
|Party for Human and Spirit / Basic Income Party / V-R||MenS-BIP||Tara-Joëlle Fonk||726||0.0||−0.2||0||–|
|StemNL||SNL||Mario van den Eijnde||527||0.0||New||0||–|
|Free Democratic Party||VDP||Burhan Gökalp||177||0.0||New||0||–|
|Total valid votes||10,516,041||100||150|
|Registered voters & turnout||12,893,466||81.9||+7.3|
At least four parties will be required to form a coalition with a majority (76 seats). Media sources speculated that incumbent Prime Minister Mark Rutte of the VVD would seek to form a government with the support of the centre-right CDA and liberal D66. CU was thought to be the most likely candidate to be the fourth member of the coalition. Minister of Health, Welfare and Sport, Edith Schippers, was selected by the VVD to serve as the party's informateur on 16 March, seeking to determine whether Jesse Klaver of GroenLinks solely desired a left-wing government, or instead simply viewed the VVD as an unlikely coalition partner. Similarly, talks with Emile Roemer of the Socialist Party (SP), who repeatedly stated during the campaign that his party would not govern with the VVD, remain a possibility.
The leaders of D66, CDA, PvdA, VVD, SP, GroenLinks, and CU have stated that they would not enter a coalition with the PVV, and Roemer has also said that the SP will not join a coalition with the VVD.
The first proposed coalition was one involving the VVD-CDA-D66 and GroenLinks. This was the preferred coalition of Alexander Pechtold, Lodewijk Asscher and Gert-Jan Segers, while Jesse Klaver continued to argue that the major policy differences between GL and the VVD would make a coalition difficult. Nevertheless, the four parties began more serious negotiations toward a coalition agreement. Nederlandse Omroep Stichting (NOS) reported that "labour market reform, investment in law enforcement and additional money for nursing homes" would be areas of agreement between the parties, while "refugee policy, income distribution, climate and medical ethics issues are potential stumbling blocks".
On 15 May, talks on the proposed four-way VVD-CDA-D66-GL coalition failed. It was reported that the main dispute was concerning immigration, but GL leader Jesse Klaver cited climate issues and income differences as other issues where the parties disagreed. The end of the talks was reported to be a consensus decision, with no party blaming any others.
Coalition talks were reported to be at an impasse, with the VVD and CDA favouring a coalition with the CU, D66 favouring a coalition with either PvdA or SP, SP being absolutely opposed to a coalition with the VVD, CDA being opposed to a coalition without the VVD, PvdA rejecting any coalition, and all parties with more than five seats rejecting a coalition with the PVV. D66 has said that they would consider a coalition with the CU very difficult due to disagreements on medical-ethical issues such as doctor-assisted suicide, due to the lack of representation of the political left within that coalition, and due to the small majority of one seat in both chambers, which could be an unstable coalition.
In late June 2017, discussions began again between VVD, D66, CDA and CU. Talks resumed on 9 August 2017, after a three week summer break, and were reported to be close to a conclusion due to representatives of unions and employers’ organizations joining the discussions, which typically happens near the end of such negotiations.
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