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The Division of Robertson is an Australian electoral division in the state of New South Wales. The division was proclaimed in 1900, and was one of the original 65 divisions to be contested at the first federal election. The division was named after Sir John Robertson, the fifth Premier of New South Wales.

Robertson
Australian House of Representatives Division
Division of ROBERTSON 2016.png
Division of Robertson in New South Wales, as of the 2016 federal election.
Created1901
MPLucy Wicks
PartyLiberal
NamesakeJohn Robertson
Electors111,255 (2019)
Area980 km2 (378.4 sq mi)
DemographicProvincial

Originally, Robertson was anchored in rural central NSW, encompassing the area around Dubbo, Mudgee and Wellington. It moved eastward to take in Gosford in 1913, and since then it has been moved further eastward in successive redistributions. By 1969, it had moved to approximately its current position on the Central Coast, immediately north of the Hawkesbury River, and now includes none of its original territory. Nonetheless, it has retained the name of Robertson, in part because the Australian Electoral Commission is required to preserve the names of original electorates where possible.[1]

It encompasses the towns of Woy Woy, Gosford and Terrigal.

Two of its members have served as Senators prior or subsequent to their tenures on Robertson. Former Senator Belinda Neal was elected in Robertson in 2007 and Deborah O'Neill became a Senator shortly after losing Robertson in 2013.

In recent years, Robertson has been a bellwether electorate in federal elections, taking on a character similar to mortgage belt seats on Sydney's outer fringe. It has been held by a member of the party of government since the 1983 federal election. In addition, after Mike Kelly became the first opposition MP elected to represent Eden-Monaro since 1975, Robertson currently holds the record for the longest-running bellwether seat in Australia.

The current Member for Robertson, since the 2013 federal election, is Lucy Wicks, a member of the Liberal Party of Australia.

Contents

The new bellwetherEdit

Ahead of the 2016 election, ABC psephologist Antony Green listed Robertson in his election guide as one of eleven which he classed as "bellwether" electorates. Prior to the 2016 election, the seat of Eden-Monaro was long regarded as Australia's most famous bellwether. From the 1972 election until the 2013 election – over 40 years – Eden-Monaro was won by the party that also won government. No longer the nation's famous bellwether seat after the Labor opposition won it at the 2016 election, the nation's new longest-running bellwether is Robertson – continually won by the party that won government since the 1983 election.[2]

MembersEdit

Election resultsEdit

2019 Australian federal election: Robertson[3]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Liberal Lucy Wicks 41,682 47.42 +2.74
Labor Anne Charlton 30,134 34.29 −4.14
Greens Cath Connor 6,574 7.48 −0.87
Independent David Abrahams 2,661 3.03 +3.03
United Australia Robert Marks 2,388 2.72 +2.72
Animal Justice Sean Bremner Young 1,754 2.00 +2.00
Sustainable Australia Judy Singer 1,477 1.68 +1.68
Christian Democrats Fiona Stucken 1,221 1.39 −1.27
Total formal votes 87,891 92.85 −2.12
Informal votes 6,769 7.15 +2.12
Turnout 94,660 85.08 −7.44
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Lucy Wicks 47,973 54.58 +3.44
Labor Anne Charlton 39,918 45.42 −3.44
Liberal hold Swing +3.44

Results are not final. Last updated 5:30pm AEST on 25 May 2019.

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ "Guidelines for naming divisions". Australian Electoral Commission. 20 July 2011. Retrieved 30 March 2013.
  2. ^ The Bellwether Contests: Antony Green ABC
  3. ^ Robertson, NSW, Tally Room 2019, Australian Electoral Commission.

External linksEdit