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"Currency manipulator" is a designation applied by United States government authorities, such as the United States Department of the Treasury, to countries that engage in a certain degree of currency intervention, a monetary policy in which a central bank buys or sells foreign currency in exchange for domestic currency, generally with the intention of influencing the exchange rate and commercial policy. Policymakers may have different reasons for currency intervention, such as controlling inflation, maintaining international competitiveness, or financial stability. In many cases, the central bank weakens its own currency to subsidize exports and raise the price of imports, sometimes by as much as 30-40%, and it is thereby a method of protectionism.[1] Currency manipulation is not necessarily easy to identify and some people have considered quantitative easing to be a form of currency manipulation.[2]

Under the 1988 Omnibus Foreign Trade and Competitiveness Act, the United States Secretary of the Treasury is required to "analyze on an annual basis the exchange rate policies of foreign countries … and consider whether countries manipulate the exchange rate between their currency and the United States dollar for purposes of preventing effective balance of payments adjustments or gaining unfair competitive advantage in international trade" and that "If the Secretary considers that such manipulation is occurring with respect to countries that (1) have material global current account surpluses; and (2) have significant bilateral trade surpluses with the United States, the Secretary of the Treasury shall take action to initiate negotiations with such foreign countries on an expedited basis, in the International Monetary Fund or bilaterally, for the purpose of ensuring that such countries regularly and promptly adjust the rate of exchange between their currencies and the United States dollar to permit effective balance of payments".[3]

A designated currency manipulator can be excluded from U.S. government procurement contracts.[4]

According to the Trade Facilitation and Trade Enforcement Act of 2015, the Secretary of the Treasury must publish a semi-annual report in which the developments in international economic and exchange rate policies are reviewed. If a country is labeled a currency manipulator under this Act, "The President, through Treasury, shall take specified remedial action against any such countries that fail to adopt policies to correct the undervaluation of their currency and trade surplus with the United States."[5][6]

Designations under the 1988 ActEdit

Since the 1988 Act was enacted, the U.S. has designated the following countries as currency manipulators: South Korea in 1988, Taiwan in 1988 and again in 1992, and China from 1992 until 1994. In August 2019, under personal pressure from President Donald Trump, the United States Treasury again designated China a currency manipulator,[4][7][8] a designation not supported by the International Monetary Fund.[9] An analysis by The Economist in 2017 noted that Switzerland has been manipulating its currency more than China since 2009 and Taiwan and South Korea have been doing so since 2014.[10]

In May 2019, the United States Department of the Treasury removed India and Switzerland from its currency monitoring list but China, Japan, South Korea, Germany, Italy, Ireland, Singapore, Malaysia, and Vietnam remained on the list.[11]

Impact on manufacturingEdit

Currency manipulation has a disproportionate effect on the secondary sector of the economy and lobbyists of the U.S. manufacturing sector have regularly referred to China as a currency manipulator. A 2013 analysis by Carlos D. Ramirez found that "an increase of one percentage point in the share of congressional district labour force in manufacturing is associated with a 19.6% increase in the likelihood that the district legislator will label China a currency manipulator".[12]

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ Bergsten, C. Fred (February 25, 2015). "Currency Manipulation: Why Something Must Be Done". Forbes.
  2. ^ JOHNSTON, MATTHEW (June 25, 2019). "Quantitative Easing vs. Currency Manipulation". Investopedia.
  3. ^ "OMNIBUS TRADE AND COMPETITIVENESS ACT OF 1988 (H.R. 3) : SEC. 3004. INTERNATIONAL NEGOTIATIONS ON EXCHANGE RATE AND ECONOMIC POLICIES" (PDF). United States Department of the Treasury.
  4. ^ a b Shalal, Andrea; Lawder, David; Wroughton, Lesley; Brice, Makini (August 5, 2019). "U.S. designates China as currency manipulator for first time in decades". Reuters.
  5. ^ "H.R.644 - Trade Facilitation and Trade Enforcement Act of 2015. 114th Congress (2015-2016), VII, Sec. 701". Congress.gov. February 24, 2016.
  6. ^ "Macroeconomic and Foreign Exchange Policies of Major Trading Partners of the United States". United States Department of the Treasury.
  7. ^ "Treasury Designates China as a Currency Manipulator" (Press release). United States Department of the Treasury. August 5, 2019.
  8. ^ "Trump pressured Mnuchin to label China 'currency manipulator', a move he had previously resisted". Washington Post.
  9. ^ Palmer, Doug. "New IMF report doesn't back Trump's currency manipulation charge against China". POLITICO.
  10. ^ "China and currency manipulation: Champs or chumps". The Economist. March 2, 2017.
  11. ^ "US removes India from its currency monitoring list; China, Japan stay". Business Standard. Press Trust of India. May 29, 2019.
  12. ^ Ramirez, Carlos D. (December 2013). "The political economy of "currency manipulation" bashing". China Economic Review. 27: 227–237. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.408.3085. doi:10.1016/j.chieco.2012.10.005.