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2019 Moldovan parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections will be held in Moldova on 24 February 2019.[1] Campaigning began in November 2018.[2]

2019 Moldovan parliamentary election

← 2014 24 February 2019

All 101 seats in Parliament
51 seats needed for a majority
  Zinaida Greceanîi, 2014 (cropped).jpg Tudor Deliu (2015-10-21).png VoroninVladimir2008.jpg
Leader Zinaida Greceanîi Tudor Deliu Vladimir Voronin
Party PSRM PLDM PCRM
Leader since 2016 2018 1994
Last election 25 seats, 20.5% 23 seats, 20.2% 21 seats, 17.5%

  Vladimir Plahotniuc.jpg Dorin Chirtoacă elections 2009.jpg Maia Sandu - EPP Summit - June 2017 (35463818515) (cropped).jpg
Leader Vladimir Plahotniuc Dorin Chirtoacă Maia Sandu
Party PDM PL PAS
Leader since 2016 2018 2016
Last election 19 seats, 15.8% 13 seats, 9.7% New

  Nastase Primar.jpg
Leader Andrei Năstase
Party PPDA
Leader since 2015
Last election New

Incumbent Prime Minister

Pavel Filip
PDM



Contents

Electoral systemEdit

The 101 seats in the Parliament are to be elected according to a new mixed system introduced in 2017; 50 lawmakers will be elected on party lists and the remaining 51 in individual constituencies.[3][4] The electoral threshold varies depending on the type of list; for alliances of three or more parties it is 11%, for alliances of two parties it is 9%, for single parties or organisations it is 6%, and for independent candidates it is 2%. Turnout must be at least 33% to make the election valid.[5] There is still controversy against the new election system and a referendum in 2018 against it was considered possible.[6][7] New controversies came up and demonstrations started after the June 3 mayoral elections in Chișinău were invalidated because of Facebook posts of the candidates on election day. The mayoral election had been won by Andrei Năstase, a candidate in opposition to governmental PDM and presidential PSRM parties.[8]

Opinion pollsEdit

VoteEdit

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty. The threshold for a party to elect members is 6%.

Date Polling firm/source PSRM PLDM PCRM PDM PL PN PPEM PPDA PAS PUN Others Lead Decided
28 November–10 December 2018 ASDM 35.6 2.2 13.2 1.7 6.9 9.4 3.1 1.5 22.4 82.2
1-20 November 2018 ASDM 44.1 2.6 15.5 3.1 13.5 14.5 3.9 2.8 29.5 -
9-23 November 2018 BOP 45.5 1.0 3.4 15.0 1.6 2.4 0.2 9.9 14.6 5.9 0.2 0.4 30.5 -
20 October–9 November 2018 IMAS 27.1 1.3 5.8 15.7 1.5 2.8 1.2 7.1 6.4 5.0 0.5 0.8 11.4 -
11 September–16 October 2018 IRI 32.0 <1.0 4.0 12.0 1.0 2.0 <1.0 12.0 12.0 4.0 1.0 20.0 87.6
1-12 September 2018 ASDM 47.3 2.7 14.5 2.1 13.7 15.4 1.6 2.7 31.9 -
26 June–7 July 2018 ASDM 49.7 2.8 13.5 2.5 15.9 11.1 1.2 3.3 33.8 74.9
15–28 March 2018 ASDM 50.5 2.9 10.7 0.8 2.6 1.8 8.9 19.3 0.8 0.7 1.1 31.2 73.1
7 February–7 March 2018 IRI 43.9 4.9 9.8 2.4 2.4 2.4 4.9 24.4 1.2 2.4 21.5 83.0
16 February–6 March 2018 IMAS 38.9 0.8 7.9 16.2 2.0 3.4 3.2 7.3 16.4 3.2 0.5 0.2 22.5 -
2–18 January 2018 ASD 50.4 2.3 10.6 1.0 2.0 1.6 5.4 24.1 1.1 0.7 0.7 26.3 -
18 November–5 December 2017 BOP 47.6 1.1 4.5 5.1 2.7 4.4 1.4 6.2 22.5 2.9 0.7 0.5 25.1 -
20 November–2 December 2017 ASDM 51.2 1.0 2.3 6.9 1.2 2.0 1.9 4.8 25.9 0.7 1.9 25.3 64.3
7–29 October 2017 Ziarul Timpul FOP 50.3 1.5 3.7 6.2 1.7 3.2 1.8 4.1 25.9 1.6 - 24.4 88.4
23 September–17 October 2017 IRI 34.0 <1.0 4.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 23.0 1.5 0.5 11.0 81.0
9–20 September 2017 CBS-Axa 51.1 4.5 6.0 1.2 3.9 1.3 5.8 24.1 2.1 27.0 50.8
22 June–9 July 2017 IMAS 42.3 1.0 6.4 11.7 2.2 5.2 2.2 7.5 19.2 1.3 1.0 23.1 50.8
7–25 April 2017 CBS-Axa 52.7 3.7 3.5 1.1 3.7 1.3 6.0 26.6 1.0 0.4 26.1 60.3
23 March–17 April 2017 BOP 43.6 0.2 4.3 4.9 1.0 4.1 1.7 6.0 32.2 1.0 1.0 11.4 75
10–19 March 2017 Ziarul Timpul FOP 54.2 0.6 2.6 4.3 0.6 2.5 1.4 5.6 28.2 - 26.0 89.3
13 February–7 March 2017 IRI 36.0 <1.0 4.0 4.0 <1.0 6.0 1.0 5.0 29.0 4.0 7.0 87
18–27 January 2017 CBS-AXA 51.2 4.2 4.3 0.5 3.2 0.9 5.8 28.5 1.5 22.7 63.3
2–10 January 2017 ASDM 49.0 1.0 3.5 9.5 1.5 8.0 2.0 12.0 11.0 2.5 37.0 77
13 November 2016 Igor Dodon (PSRM) is elected President of Moldova
6–16 October 2016 IPP 39.0 1.0 4.0 11.5 1.5 11.5 2.5 13.0 14.0 2.0 25.0 67
29 September–9 October 2016 Intellect Grup 32.0 1.0 6.5 16.5 2.0 9.0 3.5 13.0 15.5 1.0 15.5 79
28 September–5 October 2016 ASDM 34.4 1.9 6.5 11.4 4.0 9.3 5.6 14.3 12.6 - 20.1 -
21 September–8 October 2016 CCSM 32.2 1.5 3.2 15.8 2.8 7.9 5.1 11.6 19.8 - 12.4 78.3
19–28 September 2016 Intellect Grup 30.6 1.4 7.2 14.4 4.1 10.1 4.2 13.2 15.0 - 15.6 83.5
14–25 September 2016 CBS-AXA 35.6 0.7 7.3 13.5 3.2 13.3 3.9 12.7 9.9 - 12.1 82.2
1–23 September 2016 IRI 29.0 5.0 12.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 13.0 14.0 1.0 15.0 86
2–10 September 2016 ASDM 27.7 2.7 8.7 11.9 5.5 11.5 7.9 10.3 13.8 - 13.8 92.6
11–24 June 2016 Intellect Grup 23.0 1.7 11.6 10.9 4.4 15.9 4.9 10.9 16.9 - 6.1 76.9
21 May–15 June 2016 FOP 28.7 1.5 8.6 8.0 3.3 13.6 7.2 12.4 16.7 - 12.0 91.5
May 2016 NDI 21.0 <1.0 12.0 8.0 5.0 13.0 5.0 18.0 16.0 - 3.0 76
16–23 April 2016 IPP 28.0 0.5 8.0 5.0 2.5 19.0 5.0 14.0 17.5 0.5 9.0 64
1–10 April 2016 ASDM 21.0 3.5 7.5 7.5 6.0 14.5 6.5 16.0 9.0 8.5 5.0 84
11–25 March 2016 IRI 20.0 2.0 6.0 7.0 2.0 21.0 4.0 12.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 88
11–20 March 2016 FOP 24.5 0.5 10.0 7.0 3.0 18.0 7.0 15.0 14.5 0.5 6.5 88
10–21 February 2016 ASDM 22.0 3.0 8.0 8.5 7.5 16.5 8.5 17.5 8.5 5.5 78
5–13 February 2016 CBS-AXA 21.5 1.0 5.0 7.0 2.0 33.0 6.0 14.0 10.5 - 11.5 60
8–16 January 2016 ASDM 23.5 3.0 7.0 9.0 8.0 20.5 9.0 12.5 7.5 3.0 72
11–30 November 2015 NDI 21.0 3.0 12.5 5.5 7.0 22.5 10.0 17.0 1.5 1.5 71
8 November–1 December 2015 IPP 15.0 3.0 10.5 9.0 7.5 23.5 10.5 18.0 3.0 5.5 67
10–18 November 2015 ASDM 22.5 3.5 7.5 9.5 8.0 21.0 9.5 8.5 10.0 1.5 72
29 September–21 October 2015 IRI 15.0 3.0 7.0 5.0 5.0 20.0 12.0 7.0 2.0 7.0 76
10–18 September 2015 CBS-AXA 20.0 7.5 10.0 6.5 9.5 23.0 10.0 7.0 6.5 3.0 56
14 June 2015 Local elections 16.6 18.3 10.2 17.6 12.6 11.1 7.6 0.3 6.0 0.7 49
6–18 May 2015 CBS-AXA 28.6 8.7 15.5 6.8 11.7 14.8 14.0 - 13.1 60
1–12 April 2015 ASDM 25.5 14.0 15.5 11.5 15.0 8.5 7.5 2.5 10.0 -
1–26 March 2015 NDI 17.0 10.0 15.0 11.0 13.0 18.0 17.0 7.0 - 1.0 72
22 February–4 March 2015 CBS-AXA 20.8 15.9 20.5 8.2 20.8 9.3 4.4 - 0.0 61
January 2015 CBS-AXA 23.3 21.3 22.8 14.6 18.0 - 0.5 60
30 November 2014 Parliamentary elections 20.5 20.2 17.5 15.8 9.7 16.3 0.3 57

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ Vițu, Valeria. "24 februarie 2019, ziua alegerilor parlamentare în R.Moldova". RFI (in Romanian).
  2. ^ "Moldovan Socialists Kick Off Election Campaign With Chisinau Rally". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. Retrieved 2018-12-18.
  3. ^ "Hundreds Protest In Moldova Against New Electoral Law". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. Retrieved 2019-01-11.
  4. ^ New Electoral Law in Moldova Criticised as a Tool to Keep Power
  5. ^ Electoral system IPU
  6. ^ "Hundreds Protest In Moldova Against New Electoral Law". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. Retrieved 2019-01-11.
  7. ^ "Anti-Mixed Voting Coalition backs referendum initiative". en.crimemoldova.com. Retrieved 2019-01-11.
  8. ^ "U.S. Calls Move To Void Chisinau Mayoral Vote A 'Threat To Democracy'". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. Retrieved 2019-01-11.