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2019 Manitoba general election

The 2019 Manitoba general election was held on September 10, 2019 to elect the 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba.[1]

2019 Manitoba general election

← 2016 September 10, 2019 Next →

57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba
29 seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  First party Second party Third party
  Brian Pallister 2014.jpg
NDP
LIB
Leader Brian Pallister Wab Kinew Dougald Lamont
Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic Liberal
Leader since July 30, 2012 September 16, 2017 October 21, 2017
Leader's seat Fort Whyte Fort Rouge St. Boniface
Last election 40 seats, 53.01% 14 seats, 25.73% 3 seats, 14.46%
Seats before 38 12 4
Seats won 36 18 3
Seat change Decrease2 Increase6 Decrease1
Popular vote 221,007 149,868 67,978
Percentage 47.07% 31.38% 14.48%
Swing Decrease 6.03% Increase5.65% Increase0.02%

Manitoba Provincial Election 2019 - Results by Riding.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed to the right.

Premier before election

Brian Pallister
Progressive Conservative

Premier after election

Brian Pallister
Progressive Conservative

The incumbent Progressive Conservatives, led by Premier Brian Pallister, were re-elected to a second majority government with a loss of only two seats. The NDP, led by Wab Kinew, gained six seats and retained their position as the official opposition. The Liberals, led by Dougald Lamont, won the remaining three seats.

BackgroundEdit

DateEdit

Under the Manitoba Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election.[2] As the previous election was held in 2016, the latest possible date for the election was October 6, 2020, or if that would have overlapped with a federal election period, the latest possible date would be April 20, 2021.[3]

However, incumbent Premier Brian Pallister announced instead in June 2019 that he would seek to hold the election over a year early, on September 10, 2019, in order to seek "a new mandate to keep moving Manitoba forward." Pallister visited Lieutenant Governor Janice Filmon on August 12 to officially drop the writ and begin the campaign period.[4]

It had been speculated that Pallister would call an early election in order to take advantage of a large lead in opinion polls, and to get the vote out of the way before new and potentially unpopular budget cuts took effect. A poll taken by the Winnipeg Free Press found that while most respondents disagreed with the early election and agreed that Pallister had moved up the date for partisan reasons, such sentiments were unlikely to imperil Pallister's re-election.[5]

Electoral boundariesEdit

By law, Manitoba's electoral boundaries are reviewed every 10 years. The latest review was completed the end of 2018, meaning the 2019 elections were the first ones contested using the new boundaries.[6][7]

TimelineEdit

2016Edit

2017Edit

2018Edit

2019Edit

  • April 3: Progressive Conservative MLA for Kildonan, Nic Curry announces that he will not seek re-election.[11]
  • May 22: MLA Steven Fletcher resigns as leader of the Manitoba First party.[12]
  • August 12: Premier Pallister visits the lieutenant governor and calls the election for September 10th.[13]
  • September 10: The election is held.

Legislature summaryEdit

Manitoba Legislature
Party Leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2016 Current 2019 +/- Votes % +/-
Progressive Conservative Brian Pallister 57 40 38 36 -2 221,007 47.07%
New Democratic Wab Kinew 57 14 12 18 +6 149,868 31.38%
Liberal Dougald Lamont 57 3 4 3 -1 67,978 14.48%
Green James Beddome 43 30,175 6.43%
  Manitoba Forward Wayne Sturby 7 1,321 0.28%
  Manitoba First Douglas Petrick 6 1 -1 638 0.14%
Communist Darrell Rankin 5 191 0.04%
  Independents 3 2 -2 930 0.2%
  Vacant 0
Blank and invalid votes
Total 57 57 57
Registered voters/turnout
Popular vote
PC
47.07%
New Democratic
31.38%
Liberal
14.48%
Green
6.43%
Others
0.64%
Seat summary
PC
63.16%
New Democratic
31.58%
Liberal
5.26%

Incumbents not running for reelectionEdit

Riding Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee New MLA
Assiniboia   Steven Fletcher[14] (elected as PC) none   Scott Johnston
Fort Garry-Riverview (redistributed to Fort Garry)   James Allum[15] Mark Wasyliw[16]   Mark Wasyliw
Kildonan (redistributed to Kildonan-River East)   Nic Curry[17] Cathy Cox   Cathy Cox
Logan (redistributed to Notre Dame and Union Station)   Flor Marcelino[18] Uzoma Asagwara   Uzoma Asagwara
Wolseley   Rob Altemeyer[19] Lisa Naylor[20]   Lisa Naylor
Minto (redistributed to Notre Dame)   Andrew Swan[21] Malaya Marcelino   Malaya Marcelino
Keewatinook   Judy Klassen[22] Jason Harper   Ian Bushie

Candidates by ridingEdit

  • Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.

Northern ManitobaEdit

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   NDP   Liberal   Green Other
Flin Flon Theresa Wride
1,294
Tom Lindsey
2,435
James Lindsay
270
Saara Murnick
203
Tom Lindsey
Keewatinook Arnold Flett
355
Ian Bushie
1,723
Jason Harper
530
Judy Klassen
Swan River Rick Wowchuk
5,529
Shelley Wiggins
2,064
David Teffaine
417
Rick Wowchuk
The Pas-Kameesak Ron Evans
1,324
Amanda Lathlin
3,054
Ken Brandt
178
Ralph McLean
780
Amanda Lathlin
The Pas
Thompson Kelly Bindle
1,750
Danielle Adams
2,651
Darla Contois
294
Meagan Jemmett
177
Kelly Bindle

Westman/ParklandEdit

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   NDP   Liberal   Green Other
Agassiz Eileen Clarke
5,688
Kelly Legaspi
954
Hector Swanson
462
Liz Clayton
417
Eileen Clarke
Turtle Mountain Doyle Piwniuk
6,162
Angie Herrera-Hildebrand
990
Richard Davies
607
David M. Neufeld
1,350
Doyle Piwniuk
Arthur-Virden
Brandon East Len Isleifson
3,272
Lonnie Patterson
2,311
Kim Longstreet
799
Len Isleifson
Brandon West Reg Helwer
4,307
Nick Brown
1,747
Sunday Frangi
564
Robert Brown
744
Reg Helwer
Dauphin Brad Michaleski
4,799
Darcy Scheller
4,022
Cathy Scofield-Singh
674
Brad Michaleski
Riding Mountain Greg Nesbitt
6,117
Wayne Chacun
1,961
Jordan Fleury
454
Mary Lowe
723
Greg Nesbitt
Spruce Woods Cliff Cullen
5,657
Justin Shannon
1,316
Jennifer Harcus
515
Gordon Beddome
816
Cliff Cullen

Central ManitobaEdit

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   NDP   Liberal   Green Other
Borderland Josh Guenter
4,885
Liz Cronk
287
Loren Braul
1,226
Ken Henry
250
Cliff Graydon
739 [23]
Cliff Graydon
Emerson
Interlake-Gimli Derek Johnson
6,199
Sarah Pinsent
3,472
Mary Lou Bourgeois
400
Dwight Harfield
473
Jeff Wharton
Gimli
Merged District
Derek Johnson
Interlake
Lakeside Ralph Eichler
6,394
Dan Rugg
2,054
Ilsa Regelsky
854
Ralph Eichler
Midland Blaine Pedersen
6,700
Cindy Friesen
1,370
Julia Sisler
860
Blaine Pedersen
Morden-Winkler Cameron Friesen
6,096
Robin Dalloo
365
David Mintz
277
Mike Urichuk
769
Cameron Friesen
Springfield-Ritchot Ron Schuler
5,661
Sam Okoi
1,976
Sara Mirwaldt
813
Garrett Hawgood
1,065
Shannon Martin
Morris
Portage la Prairie Ian Wishart
4,489
Andrew Podolecki
1,521
Charles Huband
843
Ian Wishart

EastmanEdit

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   NDP   Liberal   Green Other
Dawson Trail Bob Lagassé
4,548
Echo Asher
1,783
Robert Rivard
1,874
Bob Lagassé
Lac du Bonnet Wayne Ewasko
6,170
Sidney Klassen
1,793
Terry Hayward
1,373
Wayne Ewasko
La Verendrye Dennis Smook
5,305
Erin McGee
1,052
Lorena Mitchell
929
Dennis Smook
Steinbach Kelvin Goertzen
6,237
Rob Jessup
614
LeAmber Kensley
369
Janine Gibson
417
Kelvin Goertzen
Red River North Jeff Wharton
5,566
Chris Pullen
2,387
Noel Ngo
732
Graham Hnatiuk
739
Jocelyn Burzuik (MF)
173
Ron Schuler
St. Paul
Selkirk Alan Lagimodiere
4,736
Mitch Obach
3,319
Philip Olcen
480
Tony Hill
713
Alan Lagimodiere

Northwest WinnipegEdit

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   NDP   Liberal   Green Other
Burrows Jasmine Brar
1,680
Diljeet Brar
2,536
Sarbjit Singh Gill
1,170
Edda Pangilinan (MB Fwd.)
1,020
Cindy Lamoureux
Kildonan-River East Cathy Cox
5,514
Elliot Macdonald
3,673
Kathryn Braun
1,602
Nic Curry
Kildonan
Merged District
Cathy Cox
River East
McPhillips Shannon Martin
3,307
Greg McFarlane
3,202
John Cacayuran
1,476
Jason Smith
406

Dave Wheeler (MF)
237
New Riding
Point Douglas Michelle Redmond
757
Bernadette Smith
3,002
Richard Sanderson
565
Jenn Kess
398
Fagie Fainman (CPC-M)
44
Michael Wenuik (MB Fwd.)
66
Bernadette Smith
St. Johns Ray Larkin
1,665
Nahanni Fontaine
3,526
Eddie Calisto-Tavares
1,092
Joshua McNeil
601
Nahanni Fontaine
The Maples Aman Sandhu
1,824
Mintu Sandhu
2,744
Amandeep Brar
2,070
Kiran Gill
405
Mohinder Saran
Tyndall Park Daljit Kainth
991
Ted Marcelino
2,447
Cindy Lamoureux
4,293
Fleur Mann
154

Frank Komarniski (CPC-M)
22
Ted Marcelino

Northeast WinnipegEdit

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   NDP   Liberal   Green Other
Concordia Andrew Frank
2,290
Matt Wiebe
4,284
Maria Albo
605
Matt Wiebe
Elmwood Mayra Dubon
2,533
Jim Maloway
3,862
Regan Wolfrom
739
Nicolas Geddert
763
German Lombana (CPC-M)
45
Jim Maloway
Radisson James Teitsma
4,523
Raj Sandhu
3,534
Tanya Hansen Pratt
997
Carlianne Runions
576
James Teitsma
Rossmere Andrew Micklefield
4,362
Andy Regier
3,608
Isaiah Oyeleru
707
Amanda Bazan
613
Andrew Micklefield
St. Boniface Megan Hoskins
1,889
Laurissa Sims
2,939
Dougald Lamont
4,077
Jaclyn Jeanson
840
Simone Fortier (MB Fwd.)
76
Dougald Lamont
Transcona Blair Yakimoski
3,914
Nello Altomare
4,029
Dylan Bekkering
716
Blair Yakimoski

West WinnipegEdit

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   NDP   Liberal   Green Other
Assiniboia Scott Johnston
4,102
Joe McKellep
3,303
Jeff Anderson
1,224
John Delaat
631
Steven Fletcher
Roblin Myrna Driedger
6,075
Sophie Brandt-Murenzi
1,886
Michael Bazak
1,728
Kevin Nichols
1,209
Myrna Driedger
Charleswood
Kirkfield Park Scott Fielding
5,435
Kurt Morton
2,767
Ernie Nathaniel
1,695
Dennis Bayomi
901
Scott Fielding
St. James Michelle Richard
2,767
Adrien Sala
4,009
Bernd Hohne
965
Jeff Buhse
805
Scott Johnston‡
Tuxedo Heather Stefanson
4,587
Carla Compton
1,919
Marc Brandson
2,225
Kristin Lauhn-Jensen
822
Abby Al-Sahi (MF)
60
Heather Stefanson

Central WinnipegEdit

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   NDP   Liberal   Green Other
Fort Garry Nancy Cooke
2,998
Mark Wasyliw
3,994
Craig Larkins
1,716
Casey Fennessy
722
James Allum
Fort Garry-Riverview
Fort Rouge Edna Nabess
1,854
Wab Kinew
5,031
Cyndy Friesen
1,285
James Beddome
1,579
Michael McCracken (MF)
54
Bradley Hebert (MB Fwd.)
29
Wab Kinew
Notre Dame Marsha Street
789
Malaya Marcelino
3,361
Donovan Martin
702
Martha Jo Willard
263
Andrew Taylor (CPC-M)
32
Margaret Sturby (MB Fwd.)
28
Andrew Swan
Minto
River Heights Susan Boulter
2,276
Jonathan Niemczak
1,346
Jon Gerrard
5,038
Nathan Zahn
661
Jon Gerrard
Union Station Tara Fawcett
908
Uzoma Asagwara
2,635
Harold Davis
949
Andrea Shalay
473
Elsa Cubas (CPC-M)
48
James Yau (MB Fwd.)
32
Flor Marcelino
Logan
Wolseley Elizabeth Hildebrand
831
Lisa Naylor
4,253
Shandi Strong
770
David Nickarz
3,336
Eddie Hendrickson
129
Rob Altemeyer

South WinnipegEdit

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   NDP   Liberal   Green Other
Fort Richmond Sarah Guillemard
3,241
George Wong
1,701
Tanjit Nagra
2,361
Cameron Proulx
379
Sarah Guillemard
Fort Whyte Brian Pallister
5,609
Beatrice Bruske
1,755
Darrel Morin
1,729
Sara Campbell
665
Jason Holenski (MF)
54
Brian Pallister
Lagimodière Andrew Smith
5,182
Billie Cross
2,789
Jake Sacher
1,481
Bob Krul
557
New Riding
Riel Rochelle Squires
4,472
Mike Moyes
3,554
Neil Johnston
1,352
Roger Schellenberg
591
Rochelle Squires
Seine River Janice Morley-Lecomte
4,363
Durdana Islam
2,513
James Bloomfield
2,147
Bryanne Lamoureux
658
Janice Morley-Lecomte
Southdale Audrey Gordon
4,486
Karen Myshkowsky
3,955
Spencer Duncanson
1,422
Katherine Quinton
584
Robert Cairns (MB Fwd.)
70
Andrew Smith
St. Vital Colleen Mayer
3,211
Jamie Moses
4,081
Jeffrey Anderson
1,271
Elizabeth Dickson
499
David Sutherland (MF)
60
Baljeet Sharma
62
Colleen Mayer
Waverley Jon Reyes
3,265
Dashi Zargani
1,865
Fiona Haftani
1,070
James Ducas
325
Jon Reyes
St. Norbert

Opinion pollsEdit

Polling Firm Last Date of Polling Link PC NDP Liberal Green Other
Forum Research September 9, 2019 URL 43 29 17 10 1
Research Co. September 9, 2019 URL 44 31 16 7 1
Mainstreet Research September 4, 2019 URL 43.3 34.2 15.1 6.2 1.2
Research Co. August 29, 2019 URL 46 30 14 8 1
Probe Research Inc August 24, 2019 URL 40 29 18 10 3
Mainstreet Research August 19, 2019 URL 42.5 34.7 11.9 9.6 1.4
Converso August 7, 2019 URL 35.0 21.0 12.0 8.0 1.0
Probe Research Inc June 17, 2019 URL 42 26 16 14 3
Probe Research Inc March 24, 2019 PDF 42 30 18 7
Mainstreet Research March 24, 2019 URL 44.8 32.1 13.1 6.7 3.3
Mainstreet Research January 16, 2019 URL 44.6 28.0 16.8 4.6 6.0
Probe Research Inc December 6, 2018 PDF 44 27 21 5 3
Mainstreet Research November 5, 2018 URL 42.3 28.7 18.1 6.0 4.9
Probe Research Inc September 28, 2018 PDF 44 25 20 8
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 URL 44.9 29.3 13.6 8.7 3.4
Probe Research Inc June 19, 2018 PDF 42 30 16 11
Mainstreet Research April 18, 2018 URL 45.6 30.2 13.0 7.8
Probe Research Inc April 13, 2018 PDF 44 28 19 8
Mainstreet Research January 6, 2018 URL 39.6 36.7 13.3 10.4
Probe Research Inc December 14, 2017 PDF 40 26 25 8
Probe Research Inc October 10, 2017 URL 36 30 24 8
Probe Research Inc June 18, 2017 URL 42 30 20 7
Mainstreet Research April 7, 2017 URL 47 23 19 11
Probe Research Inc March 28, 2017 URL 43 27 20 8
Probe Research Inc December 12, 2016 PDF 49 24 19 8
Probe Research Inc September 26, 2016 PDF 48 20 26 5
Probe Research Inc June 16, 2016 PDF 46 27 18 8
2016 election April 19, 2016 53.0 25.7 14.5 5.1 1.7
 

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election Archived February 22, 2012, at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved June 24, 2012.
  2. ^ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(2).
  3. ^ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(3).
  4. ^ Hatherly, Dana (August 12, 2019). "Pallister makes it official: Manitoba election is Sept. 10". CBC News. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  5. ^ Robertson, Dylan (June 25, 2019). "No hard feelings on early Manitoba election: poll". Winnipeg Free Press. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  6. ^ "2018 Manitoba Electoral Divisions". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
  7. ^ "Proposed 2018 Electoral Division Names, Populations and Variations". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
  8. ^ https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/rob-altemeyer-quitting-1.4587149
  9. ^ "Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission - Final Report 2018". Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission. Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission. Retrieved December 14, 2018.
  10. ^ "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
  11. ^ "Manitoba Tory MLA Nic Curry won't seek re-election". CBC.ca. April 3, 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  12. ^ [1]
  13. ^ [2]
  14. ^ "Manitoba MLA Steven Fletcher to run for People's Party of Canada". CBC News. May 22, 2019. Retrieved June 11, 2019.
  15. ^ "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Canadian Press via The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
  16. ^ "Winnipeg school trustee upset with province over funding to seek NDP nomination". The Canadian Press via CBC Manitoba. March 19, 2019. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
  17. ^ "Manitoba Tory MLA Nic Curry won't seek re-election". CBC.ca. April 3, 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  18. ^ Froese, Ian (June 3, 2019). "Former interim NDP leader Flor Marcelino won't run for re-election". CBC Manitoba. Retrieved June 7, 2019.
  19. ^ "Wolseley MLA Rob Altemeyer won't run in next provincial election". CBC Manitoba. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
  20. ^ "News in Brief - Naylor wins Wolseley NDP nomination". Winnipeg Free Press. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
  21. ^ "Longtime former Manitoba NDP cabinet minister will not seek re-election". CBC Manitoba. May 17, 2019. Retrieved July 16, 2019.
  22. ^ Schroeder, Lara (April 11, 2019). "MLA Judy Klassen sets sights on federal seat, saying 'proper representation' would save lives". CBC News. Retrieved September 2, 2019.
  23. ^ Lambert, Steve (July 22, 2019). "Ousted Manitoba politician to run as Independent, denies groping allegation". CBC Manitoba/The Canadian Press. Retrieved July 23, 2019.

External linksEdit