2017 Washington's 45th state senate district special election

A special election was held on November 7, 2017, to fill the vacant seat in the Washington State Senate representing the 45th district. The seat was left vacant after the death of incumbent Andy Hill in October 2016. Dino Rossi, a former candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010 and for governor in 2004 and 2008, was appointed to fill the seat until the election. He announced that he would not run for the seat. The election was then contested between Manka Dhingra of the Democratic Party and Jinyoung Lee Englund of the Republican Party, who advanced as the top two finishers in the August primary. Dhingra won the election by more than ten percent, giving the Democratic caucus a 25–24 majority for the 2018 session.

2017 Washington State Senate
45th District special election

← 2016 November 7, 2017 (2017-11-07) 2018 →

Washington's 45th state senate district
  Manka Dhingra 02.jpg No image.svg
Candidate Manka Dhingra Jinyoung Lee Englund
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 27,755 22,361
Percentage 55.21% 44.48%

Senator before election

Dino Rossi
Republican

Senator

Manka Dhingra
Democratic

Hill, a Republican, held the district from 2011 to 2016, helping give the Republican Party a one-seat majority coalition in the state senate with a Democrat. The election attracted interest from national Democratic and Republican donors, contributing more than $9 million in the state's costliest ever state legislative race.[1][2]

BackgroundEdit

The 45th legislative district represents the northeastern suburbs of Seattle in King County. It including the cities of Duvall and Woodinville and parts of Kirkland, Redmond, and Sammamish. The district's residents have a median household income of $110,881, double the state median, and are more likely to hold bachelor's degrees; the region includes employees of the area's high tech industry, as well as traditional industries like horse farms and wineries. The 45th district's population is 74 percent white, followed by 15 percent Asian, and 6 percent Hispanic.[3] In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton carried the district with 64.8 percent of votes.[3]

The Eastside region was historically a Republican stronghold, but Democratic candidates began winning seats in the early 2000s.[4] The 45th district elected former Microsoft executive Eric Oemig to the state senate in 2006, during a close election with the district's Republican representative Toby Nixon.[5][6] Oemig lost re-election in 2010 to Republican Andy Hill, also a former Microsoft executive, during a campaign partially funded by the Koch-directed national Americans for Prosperity organization.[7] Hill was re-elected in 2014 during a high-profile contest against Amazon.com product manager Matt Isenhower that attracted funding from out of state because of its potential to flip the state senate.[8][9] Hill remained popular among constituents of the district and was the chief budget writer for the Republican Party during his second term; the Republican Party had also considered him as a potential gubernatorial candidate.[1][10] He died of lung cancer on October 31, 2016.[10] Two-time losing gubernatorial and also losing U.S. Senate candidate Dino Rossi was appointed by the Republican Party and Metropolitan King County Council to fill the vacant seat. Rossi declined to run for election to the seat, leaving the 2017 special election open for candidates of both major parties.[11]

Prior to the election, majority control of the 49-member state senate rested with the 25 members of the Majority Coalition Caucus, composed of 24 Republicans and one self-identified Democrat.[12] The Governor's office and a narrow majority in the state House of Representatives were both held by the Democrats. The change of party for the 45th district, the most competitive of several special elections for the state senate in 2017, would complete a Democrat trifecta for the 2018 legislative session.[1][13] The Democrats last held a trifecta in the Washington state government from 2005 to 2012.[14][15]

CandidatesEdit

The district's Democratic representatives, Larry Springer and Roger Goodman, both declined to run for the seat.[16] Deputy King County prosecutor Manka Dhingra emerged as an early Democratic front-runner, announcing her candidacy in February and earning the 45th District Democrats's endorsement in April.[17] Dhingra, a Sikh, immigrated to the United States from India with her family at the age of 13 and was raised in California.[13] She has been part of the King County Prosecutor's Office since 2000,[18] supervising the regional mental health and veteran court systems.[19] Dhingra was involved in various non-profit organizations centered around advocacy for mental health and domestic violence survivors;[20] she described herself as non-partisan until the 2016 presidential election.[21] Ian Stratton, a Democratic activist from Sammamish, initially filed to run but dropped out before the primary election.[22]

Jinyoung Lee Englund announced her campaign for the Republican nominating in April, after being recruited by Dino Rossi.[23] Englund was born in South Korea and raised in University Place, attending the University of Washington. She worked for Christian missionary organization Iris Global in Mozambique before returning to Washington as an aide to Republican congresswoman Cathy McMorris Rodgers. Englund also worked for Dino Rossi's unsuccessful Senate campaign in 2010, for Elaine Chao at the Heritage Foundation, and as an advocate for Bitcoin.[23] A second Republican candidate, Ken Smith, filed to run but withdrew in May.[24]

Parker Harris, a teacher and engineer from Woodinville, filed to run as an independent candidate in May.[25]

CampaignEdit

EndorsementsEdit

Dhingra attracted endorsements from local and prominent national Democrats, including former Vice President Joe Biden, U.S. Senators Patty Murray and Maria Cantwell, Governor Jay Inslee, and King County Executive Dow Constantine.[26]

FundraisingEdit

The election generated national interest due to its potential to determine control of the state government. During the primary campaign, a total $3 million in campaign contributions were reported for the Democratic and Republican candidates. By the end of the general campaign in November, a total of $9 million had been spent in the race, making it the costliest ever for a Washington state legislative election. A total of $4.2 million was raised by Democrats for Dhingra, and $4.8 million by Republicans for Englund. Negative campaign ads cost $1.8 million for Democratic supporters and $2.5 million for Republican supporters.[27]

AdvertisingEdit

The national prominence and fundraising for the election brought an unusually large number of attack ads and amount of advertising to the Eastside. Several ads from both campaigns were criticized for misleading the public on the candidate's past histories and political positions.[28] The Republican campaign, without authorization from Englund, produced a series of spoof advertisements that painted Dhingra supporters as stereotypical "Seattle liberals".[29][30]

Primary election resultsEdit

The primary election garnered $3 million in total fundraising. Dhingra won the primary election, with 51 percent of the vote, followed by Englund with 41 percent and Harris with 7 percent. Dhingra and Englund advanced to the general election.[31]

Primary election
August 1, 2017[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Manka Dhingra 19,707 51.49
Republican Jinyoung Lee Englund 15,856 41.43
Independent Parker Harris 2,685 7.02
Total votes 38,889 100

General election pollingEdit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Manka
Dhingra (D)
Jinyoung
Lee Englund (R)
Undecided
Myers Research & Strategic Services September 5–10, 2017 400 ± 4.9% 51% 41% 8%

General election resultsEdit

In the second round, with over $9 million spent on the election through campaign contributions and political action committee expenditures, with a small number of votes yet to be counted, Manka Dhingra led Republican Jinyoung Englund by over a 10% margin. Anticipating the Dhingra victory, Democrat Senate Democratic Minority Leader Sharon Nelson had described a comprehensive agenda for the 60-day legislative session beginning in January that included proposed voting rights reform and campaign-finance disclosure revision, as well as women's reproductive health, clean energy and firearms safety measures.[33][34]

General election
November 7, 2017[35]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Manka Dhingra 27,755 55.21
Republican Jinyoung Lee Englund 22,361 44.48
Total votes 50,939 100
Democratic gain from Republican

AftermathEdit

Dhingra's election gave the Democratic Party a one-seat majority in the state senate, completing one-party rule of the state legislative and executive branches. Washington joined the states of California and Oregon to complete a "blue wall" along the West Coast, all sharing a Democrat government trifecta.[36] Dhingra was named as the deputy majority leader in the Senate and assigned as the chair of the Behavioral Health Subcommittee.[37] She retained the 45th district seat by being re-elected in 2018.[38]

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ a b c Burns, Alexander; Johnson, Kirk (November 4, 2017). "Poised for West Coast Dominance, Democrats Eye Grand Agenda". The New York Times. Retrieved November 4, 2017.
  2. ^ Strauss, Daniel (July 3, 2017). "The next national special election clash". Politico. Retrieved November 4, 2017.
  3. ^ a b O'Sullivan, Joseph (September 24, 2017). "Get to know district that could change state's political landscape". The Seattle Times. p. B7. Retrieved November 4, 2017.
  4. ^ Bach, Ashley (October 5, 2006). "For GOP candidates on Eastside, easy ride to Capitol is no more". The Seattle Times. p. B1. Retrieved November 4, 2017.
  5. ^ "Race to fill Finkbeiner's Senate seat proves lively". The Seattle Times. October 18, 2006. p. B1. Retrieved November 4, 2017.
  6. ^ "2006 general election results". The Seattle Times. December 8, 2006. Retrieved November 4, 2017.
  7. ^ Buck, Howard (December 28, 2010). "Bill targets secret campaign spending". The Columbian. Retrieved November 4, 2017.
  8. ^ O'Sullivan, Joseph (October 27, 2014). "Eastside race one that could determine state Senate control". The Seattle Times. p. B1. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  9. ^ Kamb, Lewis (November 4, 2014). "GOP holding onto control of state Senate". The Seattle Times. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  10. ^ a b O'Sullivan, Joseph (November 2, 2016). "Sen. Andy Hill was 'quiet smart' GOP budget writer". The Seattle Times. p. B1. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  11. ^ Gutman, David (December 6, 2016). "Dino Rossi chosen to fill vacant 45th District state Senate seat". The Seattle Times. p. B1. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  12. ^ Brand, Natalie (April 13, 2017). "Two female frontrunners in state Senate race for balance of power". KING 5 News. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  13. ^ a b Norimine, Hayat (August 22, 2017). "Is the Democratic "Trifecta" Coming?". Seattle Met. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  14. ^ Meyer, Theodric (August 8, 2012). "Legislature: Republicans will struggle to take back the state Senate". The Seattle Times. p. A6. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  15. ^ Garber, Andrew (January 15, 2013). "Legislature: Power play puts Senate in GOP hands". The Seattle Times. p. A1. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  16. ^ James, Tom (January 19, 2017). "The real fight for control of the state lies ahead". Crosscut.com. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  17. ^ "Senate Republicans unveil their candidate in WA's 45th District: Jinyoung Lee Englund". Northwest Progressive Institute. April 11, 2017. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  18. ^ "Senior deputy King County prosecutor to challenge for 45th District senate seat". Kirkland Reporter. February 13, 2017. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  19. ^ O'Sullivan, Joseph; Mayo, Justin (July 23, 2017). "Big money fuels Eastside race, with control of Washington state Senate at stake". The Seattle Times. p. B7. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  20. ^ O'Sullivan, Joseph (October 22, 2017). "Trump victory helped propel Eastside Democrat into high-stakes Senate race". The Seattle Times. p. B1. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  21. ^ Barabak, Mark Z. (November 6, 2017). "With Washington statehouse at stake, Democrats seek to build a West Coast wall of Trump resistance". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  22. ^ McClanahan, Mike (May 31, 2017). ""The Impact" – Legislative balance of power may hinge on Special Election". TVW. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  23. ^ a b O'Sullivan, Joseph (October 22, 2017). "GOP state Senate candidate targets Seattle 'extremism' in her 45th District race". The Seattle Times. p. B1. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  24. ^ O'Sullivan, Joseph (May 15, 2017). "Eastside contest to decide power in Olympia". The Seattle Times. p. B1. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  25. ^ Kunkler, Aaron (May 26, 2017). "Harris announces candidacy for 45th District race". Redmond Reporter. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  26. ^ Connelly, Joel (November 7, 2017). "Democrat Dhingra way ahead in Senate race to control Legislature". Seattle Post-Intelligencer. Retrieved November 9, 2017.
  27. ^ Norimine, Hayat (November 8, 2017). "With Dhingra's Win, Democrats Take Control of the State Senate". Seattle Met. Retrieved November 9, 2017.
  28. ^ Humbert, Jon (October 26, 2017). "'They're blatantly lying': Vicious ads taint state Senate race in 45th District". Q13 Fox News. Retrieved November 9, 2017.
  29. ^ Groover, Heidi (October 23, 2017). "State Republicans Run Fake Manka Dhingra Ads to Make Fun of Seattle Liberals". The Stranger. Retrieved November 18, 2017.
  30. ^ Kunkler, Aaron (October 25, 2017). "Fake pro-Dhingra ads target the 45th district candidate". Redmond Reporter. Retrieved November 18, 2017.
  31. ^ Brand, Natalie (August 7, 2017). "Democrat Dhingra leads Republican Englund for King County legislative seat". KING 5 News. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  32. ^ "Election Results, August 01, 2017: Official Final" (PDF). King County Elections. August 15, 2017. p. 21. Retrieved November 4, 2017.
  33. ^ Manka Dhingra leading Jinyoung Englund in pivotal 45th District Senate race, Seattle Times, Joseph O'Sullivan, November 7, 2017. Retrieved November 8, 2017.
  34. ^ O'Sullivan, Joseph (November 8, 2017). "Democrat Manka Dhingra defeats Republican Jinyoung Lee Englund in state Senate race". The Seattle Times. Retrieved November 9, 2017.
  35. ^ "November 2017 General Election Results, Official Final" (PDF). King County Elections. November 27, 2017. p. 34. Retrieved December 3, 2017.
  36. ^ May, Patrick (November 8, 2017). "On election night, Democratic voters erect 'big blue wall' on the West Coast". The Mercury News. Retrieved November 9, 2017.
  37. ^ Santos, Melissa (April 5, 2019). "With Jay Inslee running for president, here's who might lead WA next". Crosscut.com. Retrieved April 21, 2019.
  38. ^ Baumgarten, Mark; Stang, John (November 6, 2018). "State Democrats tighten hold on Olympia". Crosscut.com. Retrieved April 21, 2019.