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2016 United States Senate election in Washington

The 2016 United States Senate election in Washington was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Washington. Incumbent Democratic Senator Patty Murray ran for re-election to a fifth term,[1] and won by a significant margin, winning 59% of the vote, to Republican Chris Vance's 41%.

United States Senate election in Washington, 2016

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  Patty Murray, official portrait, 113th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Patty Murray Chris Vance
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,913,979 1,329,338
Percentage 59.0% 41.0%

Washington Senate Election Results by County, 2016.svg
County results
Murray:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Vance:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Senator before election

Patty Murray
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Patty Murray
Democratic

The election took place concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Under Washington's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the August 2 primary, voters had the choice to vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers—regardless of party—advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election. California is the only other state with this system, a so-called "top two primary" (Louisiana has a similar "jungle primary", but there is no general election if one candidate receives 50% plus one vote of all votes cast in the primary).

CandidatesEdit

Democratic PartyEdit

DeclaredEdit

  • Thor Amundson[2]
  • Phil Cornell, retired communications technician[3]
  • Patty Murray, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Mohammed Said[2]

Republican PartyEdit

DeclaredEdit

DeclinedEdit

Third party and independent candidatesEdit

DeclaredEdit

  • Pano Churchill (Lincoln Caucus)[2]
  • Ted Cummings (Independent)[2]
  • Zach Haller (Independent)[2]
  • Chuck Jackson (Independent)[2]
  • Donna Rae Lands (Conservative)[2]
  • Mike Luke (Libertarian)[2]
  • Jeremy Teuton (System Reboot)[2]
  • Alex Tsimerman (StandUpAmerica)[2]
  • Sam Wright (Human Rights)[2]

ResultsEdit

Blanket primary election results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patty Murray (Incumbent) 745,421 53.82%
Republican Chris Vance 381,004 27.51%
Republican Eric John Makus 57,825 4.18%
Democratic Phil Cornell 46,460 3.35%
Republican Scott Nazarino 41,542 3.00%
Libertarian Mike Luke 20,988 1.52%
Democratic Mohammad Said 13,362 0.96%
Independent Donna Rae Lands 11,472 0.83%
Independent Ted Cummings 11,028 0.80%
Independent Sam Wright 10,751 0.78%
Republican Uncle Mover 8,569 0.62%
Independent Jeremy Teuton 7,991 0.58%
Democratic Thor Amundson 7,906 0.57%
Independent Chuck Jackson 6,318 0.46%
Independent Pano Churchill 5,150 0.37%
Independent Zach Haller 5,092 0.37%
Independent Alex Tsimerman 4,117 0.30%
Total votes 1,384,996 100.00%

General electionEdit

DebatesEdit

Dates Location Murray Vance Link
October 16, 2016 Seattle, Washington Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 23, 2016 Redmond, Washington Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

PredictionsEdit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Safe D September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[14] Safe D September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[15] Safe D September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[16] Safe D September 15, 2016

PollingEdit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Patty
Murray (D)
Chris
Vance (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,451 ± 4.6% 59% 37% 4%
Insights West November 4–6, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 53% 37% 11%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 1,292 ± 4.6% 59% 37% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 944 ± 4.6% 61% 36% 3%
SurveyUSA October 31–November 2, 2016 667 ± 3.9% 53% 41% 6%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 807 ± 4.6% 61% 36% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 698 ± 4.6% 61% 36% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 745 ± 4.6% 61% 36% 3%
Elway Poll October 20–22, 2016 502 ± 4.5% 58% 34% 8%
KCTS 9/YouGov October 6–13, 2016 750 ± 4.4% 55% 39% 16%
Strategies 360/KOMO News September 29–October 3, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 57% 36% 6%
Emerson College September 25–26, 2016 700 ± 3.6% 48% 41% 3% 8%
Insights West September 12–14, 2016 505 ± 4.4% 46% 25% 2% 27%
Elway Poll August 9–13, 2016 500 ± 4.5% 52% 34% 14%
Elway Poll April 14–17, 2016 503 ± 3.5% 50% 32% 18%
Elway Poll October 13–15, 2015 500 ± 4.5% 44% 23% 33%

ResultsEdit

At 1,913,979 votes, Murray made history by receiving the most votes in a US Senate election in Washington State.

United States Senate election in Washington, 2016 [17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Patty Murray (incumbent) 1,913,979 59.01% +6.65%
Republican Chris Vance 1,329,338 40.99% -6.65%
Total votes 3,243,317 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

See alsoEdit

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ Brunner, Jim (February 9, 2014). "Patty Murray to seek fifth Senate term in 2016". The Seattle Times. Retrieved October 16, 2014.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Camden, Jim (May 23, 2016). "Final list of candidates in the August primary". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved May 24, 2016.
  3. ^ http://www.philcornell4ussenate.org Archived May 17, 2016, at the Wayback Machine Phil Cornell (D) for Senate
  4. ^ Pathé, Simone (September 8, 2015). "Former Washington GOP Chairman to Challenge Patty Murray". Roll Call. Retrieved September 8, 2015.
  5. ^ a b c d e Pathe, Simone (May 8, 2015). "GOP Searches for Patty Murray Challenger". Roll Call. Retrieved May 8, 2015.
  6. ^ Brunner, Jim (May 14, 2015). "Port Commissioner Bill Bryant announces run for governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved May 14, 2015.
  7. ^ a b "Washington Voters Grow Further In Support of Gay Marriage, Marijuana, Background Checks" (PDF) (Press release). Public Policy Polling. May 20, 2015. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
  8. ^ Rosenthal, Brian (February 19, 2013). "Former AG McKenna joins law firm". Yakima Herald. Retrieved March 4, 2013.
  9. ^ Joseph, Cameron (August 9, 2013). "Rep. Reichert 'thinking about' run for Senate, governor in Washington". The Hill. Retrieved October 16, 2014.
  10. ^ Brunner, Jim (October 16, 2015). "Dave Reichert won't run against Jay Inslee for governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved November 1, 2015.
  11. ^ "August 2, 2016 Primary Results - U.S. Senator". Washington Secretary of State. Archived from the original on August 22, 2016. Retrieved August 22, 2016.
  12. ^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
  13. ^ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  14. ^ "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
  15. ^ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
  16. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
  17. ^ "November 8, 2016 General Election Results". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2016.

External linksEdit