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The 2016 Maryland Democratic primary was held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Maryland as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Maryland Democratic primary, 2016

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  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 60 35
Popular vote 573,242[1] 309,990
Percentage 62.53% 33.81%

Maryland Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

The Democratic Party's primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Maryland primary.

Contents

Opinion pollingEdit

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Official Primary results April 26, 2016 Hillary Clinton
62.5%
Bernie Sanders
33.8%
Others / Uncommitted
3.7%
ARG[2]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 400

April 21-24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
50%
Bernie Sanders
44%
Others / Undecided
6%
Monmouth[3]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300

April 18-20, 2016 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Others / Undecided
11%
Public Policy Polling[4]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 492

April 15-17, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
33%
Others / Undecided
9%
NBC 4/Marist[5]

Margin of error: ± 3.5%
Sample size: 775

April 5-9, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
36%
Others / Undecided
6%
University of Maryland/Washington Post[6]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 539

March 30 - April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
5%
Baltimore Sun[7]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

March 4-8, 2016 Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Others / Undecided
11%
Gonzales/Arscott Research[8]

Margin of error: ± 5.0
Sample size: 411

February 29-March 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
26%
Others / Undecided
17%
Goucher[9]

Margin of error: ± 3.5
Sample size: 794

February 13–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Others / Undecided
14%
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 402

January 11–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton
40%
Bernie Sanders
27%
Others / Undecided
33%
Polls in 2015
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 419

November 13–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton
56%
Bernie Sanders
23%
Martin O'Malley
7%
Other/Unsure 14%
Washington Post

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 490

October 8–11, 2015 Hillary Clinton
43%
Joe Biden
26%
Bernie Sanders
20%
Martin O'Malley 4%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 3%, No Opinion 2%
Goucher[10]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300

September 26 – October 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton
43%
Joe Biden
23%
Bernie Sanders
17%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 2%, Undecided 11%
Polls in 2014
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Washington Post[11]

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 538

February 13–16, 2014 Hillary Clinton
72%
Joe Biden
9%
Martin O'Malley
6%
Elizabeth Warren 3%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, None 1%, Undecided 7%
Baltimore Sun

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500

February 8–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton
59%
Joe Biden
14%
Martin O'Malley
6%
Andrew Cuomo 4%, Undecided/Other 17%
Polls in 2013
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Washington Post

Margin of error:
Sample size:

February 21–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton
56%
Joe Biden
18%
Martin O'Malley
8%
Andrew Cuomo 4%, None/other/any of them 4%, No opinion 9%

ResultsEdit

Maryland Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 573,242 62.53% 60 17 77
Bernie Sanders 309,990 33.81% 35 1 36
Rocky De La Fuente 3,582 0.39% N/A
Uncommitted 29,949 3.27% 0 6 6
Total 916,763 100% 95 24 119
Source: The Green Papers, Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results,
MDP Announces DNC Delegates, Alternates and State DNC Members,
MDP Announces District-Level Delegate Winners

Results by countyEdit

Hillary Clinton won every county (and the independent city of Baltimore) with the exceptions of Allegany, Carroll, and Garrett counties, which went for Bernie Sanders.[12]

County[13] Clinton % Sanders % Others Totals Turnout Margin
Allegany 2,476 41.29% 2,727 45.48% 793 5,996 40.48% -4.19%
Anne Arundel 37,726 56.19% 26,205 39.03% 3,210 67,141 43.57% 17.16%
Baltimore (City) 87,762 65.26% 42,285 31.44% 4,434 134,481 45.59% 33.82%
Baltimore (County) 77,052 57.24% 50,641 37.62% 6,919 134,612 44.18% 19.62%
Calvert 5,440 57.10% 3,490 36.63% 597 9,527 40.53% 20.47%
Caroline 1,167 50.94% 959 41.86% 165 2,291 33.47% 9.08%
Carroll 7,017 46.00% 7,299 47.85% 938 15,254 46.81% -1.85%
Cecil 3,534 45.27% 3,562 45.63% 710 7,806 34.84% -0.36%
Charles 15,685 67.84% 6,623 28.64% 813 23,121 37.58% 39.19%
Dorchester 2,149 61.68% 1,080 31.00% 255 3,484 34.17% 30.68%
Frederick 14,735 51.09% 12,844 44.53% 1,262 28,841 49.09% 6.56%
Garrett 821 41.17% 939 47.09% 234 1,994 44.21% -5.92%
Harford 13,913 51.21% 11,489 42.29% 1,765 27,167 42.84% 8.92%
Howard 32,139 59.44% 20,316 37.57% 1,619 54,074 54.35% 21.86%
Kent 1,532 54.85% 1,080 38.67% 181 2,793 45.93% 16.18%
Montgomery 122,881 66.25% 59,157 31.89% 3,445 185,483 50.28% 34.36%
Prince George's 120,978 73.60% 40,815 24.83% 2,580 164,373 37.63% 48.77%
Queen Anne's 2,458 53.49% 1,851 40.28% 286 4,595 43.17% 13.21%
Somerset 4,892 52.44% 3,725 39.93% 711 9,328 36.63% 12.51%
St. Mary's 1,207 59.60% 668 32.99% 150 2,025 32.61% 26.62%
Talbot 2,710 60.74% 1,550 34.74% 202 4,462 45.05% 26.00%
Washington 6,211 49.25% 5,189 41.15% 1,210 12,610 39.10% 8.10%
Wicomico 5,543 58.14% 3,410 35.77% 581 9,534 37.09% 22.37%
Worcester 3,214 55.69% 2,086 36.15% 471 5,771 40.08% 19.55%
Total 573,242 62.53% 309,990 33.81% 33,531 916,763 43.90% 28.72%

Note: Maryland is a closed primary state. Turnout is based on registered democrats before the primary on April 26, 2016. Others vote totals consist of votes for Rocky De La Fuente and Uncommitted

AnalysisEdit

With its coalition of African Americans and college-educated, affluent Caucasian progressive/liberal professionals, Maryland was a state Hillary Clinton was expected to win in the so-called "Acela Primaries" on April 26. She swept the state on election day, winning the primary by 29 points, a clear difference from 2008 when she lost Maryland to Barack Obama. According to exit polls, 43 percent of voters in the Maryland Democratic Primary were Caucasian and they opted for Clinton by a margin of 52-42 compared to the 46 percent of African American voters who backed Clinton by a margin of 75-22. Clinton swept all socioeconomic/income classes and educational attainment categories in Maryland as well. She won the votes of people over the age of 45, 75-20, but lost the youth vote to Sanders 52-46. She won both men (55-40) and women (68-29).

In terms of party identification, of the 80 percent of self-identified Democrats who voted in the primary, 69 percent backed Clinton while 30 percent supported Bernie Sanders; Independents, who made up 17 percent of the voters, backed Sanders by a 51-39 margin. Clinton also won all ideological groups.

Clinton performed well in the urban and suburban parts of the state in and around Baltimore (which she won 63-34), and the Washington, D.C. suburbs (which she won 71-27), and she also won in the more rural parts of the state like the Eastern Shore (which she won 57-37) and Western Maryland (which she won 53-47), which includes parts of Appalachia.[14]

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results
  2. ^ "Maryland poll April 21-24, 2016". American Research Group. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
  3. ^ "MARYLAND: CLINTON LEADS SANDERS BY 25" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-22.
  4. ^ "Maryland Likely To Continue Momentum for Trump, Clinton" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-19.
  5. ^ "NBC4/Marist Poll April 2016 Maryland Questionnaire" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-13.
  6. ^ "Washington Post-University of Maryland poll, March 30-April 3, 2016". Retrieved 2016-04-07.
  7. ^ "Hillary Clinton has 33-point lead in Maryland Democratic primary, new poll shows".
  8. ^ "Maryland Poll" (PDF).
  9. ^ "Goucher poll February 13–18, 2016" (PDF).
  10. ^ "Goucher poll September 26 – October 1, 2015" (PDF).
  11. ^ "(Among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic) Thinking ahead to 2016, between (Martin O'Malley), (Hillary Clinton), (Joe Biden), (Andrew Cuomo) and (Elizabeth Warren) whom would you like to be the next Democratic presidential nominee?". Washington Post. 2014-02-22. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  12. ^ https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/maryland
  13. ^ "Maryland Certified Election Results". CNN. May 9, 2017. Retrieved 5 April 2017.
  14. ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-09-25.