Opinion polling for the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election

In the run-up to the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Hungary. The results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Pollster bias edit

The following table displays the pollsters which have alleged funding and links to the political parties:

Pollster Alleged bias Source
IDEA The company has strong ties to DK [1]
Nézőpont The company has strong ties to Fidesz, and is given budget money to conduct research for them [2][3]
Publicus The company has strong ties to the liberal political segment [1]
Real-PR 93 The company has strong ties to Fidesz [4]
Republikon The company has strong ties to the liberal political segment [5]
Századvég The company has strong ties to Fidesz, and is given budget money to conduct research for them. It also conducts lobbying on behalf of the government [2][6]
Társadalomkutató The company has strong ties to Fidesz [7]
Iránytű The company has strong ties to Jobbik [8]
Medián The company has strong ties to the liberal political segment [9]
Závecz Research The company has strong ties to MSZP [1]


Party polling edit

Graphical summary edit

The graph and the table show the support of the parties as a percentage of those voters, who have chosen a party. Those who did not reply or could or would not choose, are ignored.

 

Poll results edit

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead.

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample
size
                MHM   ANPM 2RK Other Lead
29 Feb-Mar 12 2024 IDEA 1,500 42 18 8 2 3 2 1 7 7 3 7 24
6–9 Mar 2024 Medián 1,000 46 12 8 3 1 1 1 3 8 11 2 3 1 34
29 Feb–9 Mar 2024 Závecz Research 1,000 45 19 7 4 4 2 2 0 10 4 1 0 2 26
4–6 Mar 2024 Magyar Társadalomkutató 1,000 48 9 8 4 0 1 1 3 10 11 3 2 37
26–28 Feb 2024 Nézőpont 1,000 47 14 7 2 2 2 2 4 8 8 1 4 33
21–28 Feb 2024 Republikon 1,000 37 17 9 4 5 3 4 0 9 8 1 0 3[a] 20
22–26 Feb 2024 21 Kutatóközpont 1,200 44 18 9 3 2 1 1 3 7 8 1 2 26[b]
44 17 9 2 1 1 1 5 5 6 3 3 27[c]
31 Jan–9 Feb 2024 IDEA 1,500 44 20 7 1 3 1 2 9 6 3 4 24
15–20 Jan 2024 Republikon 1,000 43 19 7 3 5 3 4 9 8 24
9–11 Jan 2024 Medián 1,000 53 11 7 5 2 1 1 1 8 6 2 42
Jan 2024 Századvég 1,000 51 11 8 1 1 1 1 1 10 9 1 5[d] 40
8–9 Jan 2024 Alapjogokért Központ 1,000 51 11 4 2 1 1 2 1 10 9 4 4 40
2–5 Jan 2024 Nézőpont 1,000 50 14 8 3 2 1 2 2 7 8 1 2 36
Dec 2023 Magyar Társadalomkutató 4,000 49 10 4 2 2 0 1 2 10 10 3 2 4 39
18–21 Dec 2023 Real-PR 93 1,000 47 12 6 3 2 1 2 2 8 11 3 3 35
12–15 Dec 2023 Publicus 1,003 46 18 7 2 6 1 1 1 4 4 3 28
30 Nov–13 Dec 2023 IDEA 1,500 43 20 7 1 3 1 2 9 7 3 4 23
17–24 Nov 2023 Republikon 1,000 43 18 7 4 5 2 5 9 7 25
31 Oct–16 Nov 2023 IDEA 1,000 45 20 7 2 3 1 1 8 6 3 4 25
29 Oct–8 Nov 2023 Závecz Research 1,000 48 19 6 4 4 2 3 1 8 4 1 2 29
17–24 Oct 2023 Republikon 1,000 43 18 7 3 5 2 5 10 7 25
13–18 Oct 2023 21 Kutatóközpont 1,000 41 12 12 2 1 1 1 2 10 10 2 2 29
29 Sep–13 Oct 2023 IDEA 1,800 45 19 8 1 3 1 1 9 5 2 6 26
Sep 2023 Medián 1,000 46 12 6 5 2 1 1 3 10 7 5 2 34
18–25 Sep 2023 Republikon 1,000 42 18 8 3 5 2 4 10 8 24
8–18 Sep 2023 Závecz Research 1,000 46 19 6 4 4 2 3 10 5 1 27
16 Sep 2023 Péter Márki-Zay's Everybody's Hungary People's Party officially becomes a party.[10]
28 Aug–8 Sep 2023 IDEA 1,800 45 19 8 2 2 1 2 10 6 5 26
7 Sep 2023 Gábor Vona's Second Reform Era Party officially becomes a party.[11]
4–6 Sep 2023 Nézőpont 1,000 51 10 8 5 2 0 2 2 9 8 3 41
24–29 Aug 2023 21 Kutatóközpont 1,500 42 15 9 7 4 1 1 4 8 5 4 27
16–23 Aug 2023 Republikon 1,000 42 17 10 4 4 2 4 10 7 25
20 Aug 2023 Péter Jakab's On the People's Side Movement officially becomes a party.[12]
28 Jul–9 Aug 2023 IDEA 1,800 46 20 8 2 2 1 2 9 6 5 26
14–25 Jul 2023 Republikon 1,000 44 18 9 4 5 2 4 8 6 26
28 Jun–19 Jul 2023 IDEA 1,800 48 20 8 2 2 1 2 8 6 3 28
26–30 Jun 2023 Publicus 807 46 21.4 7.1 3.6 9.5 1.2 1.2 6 2 2 24.6
19–23 Jun 2023 Republikon 1,000 46 16 9 4 5 2 5 7 6 30
25 May–10 Jun 2023 IDEA 1,800 48 20 8 2 2 1 2 8 6 3 28
26–31 May 2023 Medián 1,000 49 14 8 4 1 1 3 2 7 9 2 0 35
27 Apr–19 May 2023 IDEA 1,800 48 19 8 2 3 1 2 9 6 2 29
15–17 May 2023 Nézőpont 1,000 51 16 9 5 2 1 3 6 3 4 35
28 Apr–5 May 2023 Závecz Research 1,000 50 19 6 4 4 2 2 7 3 3 31
21–28 Apr 2023 Republikon 1,000 48 17 7 4 5 2 4 8 5 31
25 Mar–13 Apr 2023 IDEA 1,800 49 20 8 1 2 1 2 9 5 3 29
Mar 2023 Századvég 1,000 45.5 10.2 9.1 2.3 1.1 1.1 2.3 10.2 12.5 5.7 35.3
27–29 Mar 2023 Társadalomkutató 1,000 52 12 6 4 2 1 3 2 8 10 40
20–24 Mar 2023 Republikon 1,000 47 20 8 3 5 2 4 8 3 0 27
25 Feb–16 Mar 2023 IDEA 1,800 48 19 7 2 2 2 1 9 6 4 29
28 Feb–8 Mar 2023 Závecz Research 1,000 49 18 6 4 5 1 3 1 9 3 1 31
21–27 Feb 2023 Medián 1,000 51 14 9 5 1 2 2 2 6 6 1 37
20–22 Feb 2023 Nézőpont 1,000 52 12 5 4 2 1 2 2 9 9 2 40
10–15 Feb 2023 Republikon 1,000 47 20 6 3 6 3 5 7 3 0 27
30 Jan–15 Feb 2023 IDEA 1,800 48 20 6 2 3 2 1 9 5 4 28
31 Dec 2022–11 Jan 2023 IDEA 1,800 48 20 6 3 2 3 1 9 5 3 28
2–6 Jan 2023 Republikon 1,000 45 20 6 5 6 2 4 9 3 0 25
2–4 Jan 2023 Nézőpont 1,000 56 14 6 2 2 1 3 6 4 6 42
12–16 Dec 2022 Publicus 1,002 48 15.3 7.1 5.9 7.1 1.2 2.4 1.2 4 4.7 2 32.7
9–15 Dec 2022 Medián 1,000 50 12 8 5 2 1 2 3 8 7 2 38
12–14 Dec 2022 Real-PR 93 1,000 51 13 6 6 2 1 1 10 7 2 1 38
29 Nov–12 Dec 2022 IDEA 1,800 47 19 6 4 3 3 1 10 4 3 28
23–28 Nov 2022 Republikon 1,000 46 18 6 4 6 2 4 10 4 0 28
14–22 Nov 2022 Závecz Research 1,000 50 17 6 5 5 1 3 8 3 2 33
28 Oct–8 Nov 2022 IDEA 1,800 52 19 5 3 3 2 1 8 4 3 33
19–24 Oct 2022 Republikon 1,000 48 17 8 4 6 2 3 10 2 0 31
15–21 Oct 2022 Medián 1,000 50.6 11.7 6.5 2.6 1.3 1.3 2.6 2.6 9.1 9.1 2.6 38.9
17–19 Oct 2022 Nézőpont 1,000 54.2 18.3 6.1 4.1 4.1 0.0 2.0 4.2 6.1 2.0 37.2
29 Sep–9 Oct 2022 IDEA 1,800 51 20 6 4 2 2 1 9 3 2 31
14–22 Sep 2022 Závecz Research 1,000 52 15 6 5 5 2 3 8 2 2 37
31 Aug–9 Sep 2022 IDEA 1,800 50 17 6 3 2 3 2 9 5 3 33
29–31 Aug 2022 Nézőpont 1,000 52.8 11.9 9.9 5.9 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.7 7.9 0 40.9
25–30 Aug 2022 Publicus 1,000 48 13.8 8.8 3.7 7.5 1.3 2.5 1.3 5 5.0 3 34.2
20 Aug 2022 Péter Jakab, the former president of Jobbik, founds a new movement called the On the People's Side Movement[13]
27 Jul–7 Aug 2022 IDEA 1,800 51 17 6 6 2 2 1 9 5 1 34
20–22 Jul 2022 Publicus 1,004 44 12.0 8.4 7.2 7.2 1.2 2.4 1.2 7.2 6.0 2 32.0
9–20 Jul 2022 IDEA 1,800 54 14 6 5 2 2 1 9 6 1 40
11–13 Jul 2022 Nézőpont 1,000 56.3 8.8 8.8 7.0 1.8 1.8 1.8 5.2 8.8 0 47.5
20–22 Jun 2022 Nézőpont 1,000 57.9 9.8 6.5 6.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 6.3 8.1 0 48.1
29 Apr–9 May 2022 IDEA 1,800 57 12 7 6 2 2 1 8 4 1 45
25 Apr–4 May 2022 Závecz Research 1,000 60 11 5 5 5 1 3 8 1 1 49
26–30 Apr 2022 Medián 1,000 60 7 8 3 2 1 1 3 7 6 2 52
20–24 Apr 2022 Republikon 1,000 55 12 9 6 5 4 3 4 2 0 43
3 Apr 2022 National Election 5,651,057 54.13 34.44 5.88 3.27 2.28 19.69

Coalition polling edit

Graphical summary edit

Poll results edit

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample
size
  United for Hungary MHM   Other Lead
              ANPM
Mar 2023 Századvég 1,000 47.7 28.4 10.2 12.5 2.2[e] 19.3
27–29 Mar 2023 Nézőpont 1,000 51 26 12 8 3 25
12–16 Dec 2022 Publicus 1,002 48 41 4 4 2 7
9–15 Dec 2022 Medián 1,000 47 34 10 9 0 13
25–30 Aug 2022 Publicus 1,000 48 40 5 4 3 8
20–22 Jul 2022 Publicus 1,004 44 42 6 5 2 2
Jun 2022 Századvég 1,000 53.7 26.3 9.5 8.4 2.1 27.4
25 Apr–4 May 2022 Závecz Research 1,000 60 31 7 1 1 29
19–21 Apr 2022 Nézőpont 1,000 56 34 5 3 2 22
3 Apr 2022 National Election 5,651,057 54.13 34.44 5.88 3.27 2.28 19.69

Regions polling results edit

Budapest edit

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample
size
                MHM   ANPM Other Lead
Aug-Nov 2023 IDEA 36 23 11 1 3 3 2 1 7 10 2 1 13
Sep 2023 Republikon 35 21 12 4 7 5 5 1 4 5 14
3 Apr 2022 National Election 40.84 47.84 4.11 5.19 2.02 7.00

Debrecen edit

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample
size
                MHM   ANPM 2RK Other/No preference Lead
13–18 Oct 2023 21 Kutatóközpont 1,000 41 12 12 2 1 1 1 2 10 10 2 2 29
3 Apr 2022 National Election 145,759 56.02 35.85 4.11 1.17 2.84 20.17

Notes edit

  1. ^ Socialists and Democrats – 1
  2. ^ without leaders
  3. ^ with leaders
  4. ^ Solution Movement – 1
  5. ^ Party of Normal Life – 1.1, Solution Movement – 1.1

References edit

  1. ^ a b c Bálint, Pongrácz (22 April 2022). "Ki mögött ki áll? – A hazai közvélemény-kutatók hátterének feltáró elemzése (2. rész) | Transzparens Újságírásért Alapítvány" (in Hungarian). Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  2. ^ a b "Az illegális pártfinanszírozás rendszere – ahogy a résztvevők látják, 1. rész: "…egy részét le is fogják nyúlni"". Szabad Európa (in Hungarian). Retrieved 21 April 2023.
  3. ^ "Milliókat kaptak az Európai Parlamenttől Fidesz-közeli szervezetek | atlatszo.hu" (in Hungarian). 13 February 2023. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
  4. ^ Ágota, Bozai (6 February 2022). "Felvétel készült a közvélemény-kutatásnak álcázott befolyásoló kampányról Somogyban". Magyarnarancs.hu (in Hungarian). Retrieved 29 May 2023.
  5. ^ "Horn Gábor és az SZDSZ-es "politechnikum"" (in Hungarian). 21 April 2022. Retrieved 11 July 2023.
  6. ^ "Üstökösszerű karriert futott be a közbeszerzési piacon 2010 óta a Századvég-csoport | atlatszo.hu" (in Hungarian). 8 June 2016. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
  7. ^ "Négy éven belül harmadszor buktak nagyot a magyar közvélemény-kutatók, de miért? | G7 - Gazdasági sztorik érthetően" (in Hungarian). 21 April 2022. Retrieved 21 April 2023.
  8. ^ Nemzet, Magyar (17 February 2023). "Feléleszti a Jobbik az Iránytű Intézetet". Feléleszti a Jobbik az Iránytű Intézetet (in Hungarian). Retrieved 15 March 2024.
  9. ^ Bálint, Pongrácz (22 April 2022). "Ki mögött ki áll? – A hazai közvélemény-kutatók hátterének feltáró elemzése (1. rész) | Transzparens Újságírásért Alapítvány" (in Hungarian). Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  10. ^ "Megtartotta alapító kongresszusát Márki-Zay Péter pártja". hvg.hu (in Hungarian). 16 September 2023.
  11. ^ "Vona Gábor pártot alapít". 24.hu (in Hungarian). 7 September 2023.
  12. ^ "Jakab Péter bejelentette, hogy párttá alakult a Nép Pártján Mozgalom". telex.hu (in Hungarian). 20 August 2023.
  13. ^ "Jakab Péter: A Nép Pártján Mozgalom a mai napon megalakult". index.hu (in Hungarian). 20 August 2022.

External links edit