Wikipedia

2014 Maryland gubernatorial election

(Redirected from Maryland gubernatorial election, 2014)
See also: 2014 United States gubernatorial elections

The 2014 Maryland gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Maryland. Incumbent Democratic governor Martin O'Malley was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third consecutive term.

2014 Maryland gubernatorial election
← 2010 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2018 →
Turnout47.23% Decrease 6.79%[1]
 
Nominee Larry Hogan Anthony Brown
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Boyd Rutherford Kenneth Ulman
Popular vote 884,400 818,890
Percentage 51.0% 47.3%
Hogan:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Brown:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Governor before election

Martin O'Malley
Democratic

Elected Governor

Larry Hogan
Republican

Gubernatorial candidates pick their running mates, with the two then running together on the same ticket. Primary elections were held on June 24, 2014. The Democrats nominated incumbent lieutenant governor Anthony Brown and Howard County Executive Kenneth Ulman, while the Republicans nominated former State Secretary of Appointments Larry Hogan and former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration Boyd Rutherford.

Brown predicted that winning the general election would be just "a little bit of a molehill",[2] but he lost to Hogan by a margin of 65,510 votes in the Democratic-leaning state.[3] The Washington Post called the result "a stunning upset" and Republican Governors Association Chairman Chris Christie called it "the biggest upset in the entire country."[4]

Background edit

Maryland is considered one of the most Democratic states in the country, and Bob Ehrlich, elected in 2002, had been the only Republican elected Governor of Maryland since Spiro Agnew in 1966. Ehrlich was defeated for reelection in 2006 by Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley and lost a rematch with O'Malley by a wider margin in 2010.

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

  • Ralph Jaffe, teacher and perennial candidate[9]
  • Running mate: Freda Jaffe, sister of Ralph Jaffe[9]
  • Charles U. Smith, perennial candidate[12]
  • Running mate: Clarence Tucker[12]
  • Cindy Walsh, blogger[13]
  • Running mate: Mary Elizabeth Wingate-Pennacchia

Declined edit

Endorsements edit

Anthony Brown
National leaders

Federal legislators

State-level politicians

State legislators

Local elected officials

Organizations

Doug Gansler
Federal legislators

State-level politicians

State legislators

Local elected officials

  • Paul N. Crampton Jr., Mayor of Funkstown[41]
  • Todd L. Hershey, Washington County Treasurer[41]
  • Cynthia Kauffman, Boonsboro Councilmember[41]
  • Skip Kauffman, Boonsboro Mayor[41]
  • Howard Long, Boonsboro Assistant Mayor[41]
  • Lewis Metzner, Hagerstown Councilmember[41]
  • Penny Nigh, Hagerstown Councilmember[41]
  • Homer Schetrompf, Hancock Councilmember[41]
  • Donald Souders Jr., Smithsburg Council Vice President
  • Dennis Weaver, Clerk of the Circuit Court for Washington County[41]

Organizations

  • International Association of Fire Fighters Local 1664, AFL-CIO, CLC[41]
Heather Mizeur
Local elected officials
  • Margo Bailey, Mayor of Chestertown[42]
  • Jason Barnett, Brentwood Councilmember[43]
  • Jesse Christopherson, Mt. Rainier Councilmember[43]
  • Mary Pat Clarke, Baltimore Councilwoman[44]
  • Colleen Clay, former Takoma Park Councilwoman[45]
  • Megan Cook, Easton Town Councilwoman[42]
  • Mary Jane Coolen, Cheverly Councilmember[43]
  • Kay Daniels-Cohen, Takoma Park Councilwoman[45]
  • Liza Fenton, New Carrollton Councilmember[43]
  • Carol Fordonski, former Queen Anne's County Commissioner[42]
  • Wayne Gilchrest, former Republican U.S. Representative for Maryland's 1st congressional district[42]
  • Seth Grimes, Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Jennifer Jenkins, Glenarden Councilmember[43]
  • Laura Mitchell, Salisbury City Councilwoman[42]
  • Jennifer Murphy, Brentwood Councilmember[43]
  • Patrick Paschall, Hyattsville Councilmember[43]
  • Kathy Porter, former Mayor of Takoma Park[45]
  • Hank Prensky, former Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Don Robinson, former Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Harry Sampson, Chesapeake City Councilman[42]
  • Terry Seamens, Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Fred Schultz, Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Ed Sharp, former Mayor of Takoma Park[45]
  • Jarrett Smith, Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Reuben Snipper, former Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Shani Warner, Hyattsville Councilmember[43]
  • Bruce Williams, Mayor of Takoma Park[45]
  • Patrick Wojahn, College Park Councilmember[43]
  • Jacqueline Wood-Dodson, Fairmont Heights Councilmember[43]

Civic leaders

  • Delman Coates, Prince George County pastor[44]
  • Sonja Sohn, actress and founder and chief executive of reWIRED for Change[44]

Organizations

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Anthony
Brown 		Peter
Franchot 		Doug
Gansler 		Heather
Mizeur 		Kenneth
Ulman 		Other Undecided
Washington Post June 5–8, 2014 487 ± 5% 46% — 23% 16% — — 16%
Baltimore Sun May 31 – June 3, 2014 499 ± 4.4% 41% — 20% 15% — — 15%
WPA Opinion Research** May 6–7, 2014 ? ± ? 34% — 20% 7% — 3% 40%
St. Mary's College April 10–13, 2014 502 ± ? 27.1% — 10.8% 7.7% — — 54.3%
Washington Post February 13–16, 2014 469 ± 5.5% 34% — 15% 8% — — 43%
Baltimore Sun February 8–12, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 35% — 14% 10% — — 40%
Gonzales Research October 1–14, 2013 403 ± 5% 40.7% — 21.1% 5.2% — — 33%
GarinHartYang* September 11–15, 2013 608 ± 4% 43% — 21% 5% — — 31%
46% — 24% — — — 30%
WPA Opinion Research** September 10–11, 2013 ? ± ? 40% — 22% 7% — — 38%
NormingtonPets^ December 3–5, 2012 ? ± 4.4% 22% 13% 8% — 4% — 53%
GarinHartYang* September 12–13, 2012 504 ± 4.4% 31% 14% 18% — 4% — 33%
37% — 23% — 5% — 35%
41% — 25% — — — 34%
  • ** Internal poll for the Larry Hogan campaign
  • * Internal poll for the Anthony Brown campaign
  • ^ Internal poll for the Peter Franchot campaign

Results edit

 
Results by county:
Brown
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
Gansler
  •   30–40%
Mizeur
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Anthony Brown 249,398 51.41
Democratic Doug Gansler 117,383 24.2
Democratic Heather Mizeur 104,721 21.59
Democratic Cindy Walsh 6,863 1.41
Democratic Charles U. Smith 3,507 0.72
Democratic Ralph Jaffe 3,221 0.66
Total votes 485,093 100.00

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

  • Running mate: Shelley Aloi, banking analyst and former Frederick Alderman[54]
  • Running mate: Boyd Rutherford, former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration[56]

Disqualified edit

  • Brian Vaeth, businessman, retired firefighter and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[59]
  • Running mate: Duane "Shorty" Davis, activist[60]

Withdrew edit

Declined edit

Endorsements edit

David R. Craig
Larry Hogan
Charles Lollar

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		David
Craig 		Ron
George 		Larry
Hogan 		Charles
Lollar 		Other Undecided
Washington Post June 5–8, 2014 228 ± 7.5% 19% 5% 35% 13% 3% 29%
Baltimore Sun May 31 – June 3, 2014 501 ± 4.4% 12% 6% 27% 12% — 37%
St. Mary's College April 10–13, 2014 270 ± ? 7.8% 3.8% 16% 3.8% — 68.6%
Washington Post February 13–16, 2014 290 ± 7% 13% 4% 17% 10% 1% 57%
Baltimore Sun February 8–12, 2014 499 ± 4.4% 7% 6% 13% 5% — 69%

Results edit

 
Results by county:
Hogan
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Craig
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Lollar
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Larry Hogan 92,376 42.98
Republican David R. Craig 62,639 29.14
Republican Charles Lollar 33,292 15.49
Republican Ron George 26,628 12.39
Total votes 214,935 100.00

General election edit

Candidates edit

  • Larry Hogan (Republican Party), former State Secretary of Appointments
  • Running mate: Boyd Rutherford, former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration
  • Running mate: Lorenzo Gaztanaga, perennial candidate

Campaign edit

Hogan heavily criticized Brown for his handling of Maryland's health care exchange as a part of the Affordable Care Act, labeling him as "the most incompetent man in Maryland."[75] The Maryland Health Benefit Exchange enrolled fewer than 4,000 people.[76]

Hogan avoided social issues by promising not to touch the state's abortion or gun control laws.[77] Campaign ads were a significant part of the first debate, culminating in Hogan's call for Brown to "apologize to the women of Maryland for trying to scare them."

Brown pledged no new taxes, no increased taxes, and a look at state spending if elected. Hogan responded by citing O'Malley/Brown's same claim in the 2010 election and how that claim was followed by "40 consecutive tax hikes."[78] Brown said there have been times he has disagreed with O'Malley, like on mortgage reduction.[79] "Brown did not stay to take questions from reporters" and both candidates accused the other of not telling the truth.[80]

Debates edit

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[81] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[82] Lean D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[83] Tilt D November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[84] Tossup November 3, 2014

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Anthony
Brown (D) 		Larry
Hogan (R) 		Other Undecided
WPA Opinion Research* October 20–24, 2014 500 ± 3.5% 39% 44% — 17%
Gonzales Research October 20–24, 2014 822 ± 3.5% 46% 44% 2%[85] 18%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,086 ± 5% 51% 38% 0% 11%
WPA Opinion Research* October 19–20, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 42% 41% — 15%
Gravis Marketing October 6–9, 2014 784 ± 3.5% 46% 43% — 11%
Baltimore Sun October 4–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 49% 42% — 9%
Washington Post October 2–5, 2014 549 LV ± 5% 47% 38% 4%[85] 11%
807 RV ± 4% 44% 31% 6%[85] 19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,096 ± 4% 55% 38% 1% 7%
Gonzales Research September 16–23, 2014 805 ± 3.5% 47% 43% 1%[85] 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 1,082 ± 4% 51% 37% 3% 10%
OnMessage, Inc.* August 18–19, 2014 500 ± 4.38 45% 42% 4%[85] 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,409 ± ? 52% 39% 2% 6%
Rasmussen Reports July 9–10, 2014 750 ± 4% 48% 35% 7% 10%
Washington Post June 5–8, 2014 962 ± 3.5% 51% 33% — 16%
WPA Opinion Research* May 6–7, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 42% 35% — 23%
WPA Opinion Research* September 10–11, 2013 ? ± ? 46% 32% — 22%
  • * Internal poll for the Larry Hogan campaign

Results edit

2014 Maryland gubernatorial election[3]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Larry Hogan 884,400 51.03% +9.24%
Democratic Anthony Brown 818,890 47.25% -8.99%
Libertarian Shawn Quinn 25,382 1.46% +0.70%
Write-in 4,505 0.26% +0.15%
Total votes 1,733,177 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

By county edit

Source:[86]

County Brown Votes Hogan Votes Others Votes Totals
Allegany 22.60% 4,629 75.25% 15,410 2.14% 439 20,478
Anne Arundel 32.16% 58,001 66.10% 119,195 1.74% 3,142 180,338
Baltimore 38.89% 102,734 59.03% 155,936 2.07% 5,473 264,143
Baltimore City 75.50% 106,213 21.92% 30,845 2.58% 3,628 140,686
Calvert 29.11% 9,579 69.11% 22,739 1.78% 586 32,904
Caroline 20.97% 1,931 77.58% 7,144 1.44% 133 9,208
Carroll 16.07% 10,349 82.20% 52,951 1.74% 1,119 64,419
Cecil 20.43% 5,467 77.33% 20,699 2.24% 600 26,766
Charles 51.83% 24,601 46.91% 22,268 1.26% 600 47,469
Dorchester 30.51% 3,252 68.26% 7,276 1.24% 132 10,660
Frederick 34.57% 27,682 63.34% 50,715 2.09% 1,675 80,072
Garrett 17.80% 1,634 79.71% 7,319 2.49% 229 9,182
Harford 21.66% 19,814 76.52% 69,986 1.82% 1,660 91,460
Howard 46.68% 49,227 51.54% 54,353 1.78% 1,873 105,453
Kent 33.56% 2,603 64.58% 5,009 1.86% 144 7,756
Montgomery 61.81% 163,694 36.75% 97,312 1.44% 3,813 264,819
Prince George's 84.23% 184,950 14.86% 32,619 0.91% 2,003 219,572
Queen Anne's 19.34% 3,757 79.46% 15,436 1.20% 233 19,426
St. Mary's 25.20% 8,203 72.72% 23,675 2.09% 679 32,557
Somerset 31.86% 2,135 66.38% 4,448 1.16% 78 6,701
Talbot 29.03% 4,420 69.72% 10,616 1.25% 190 15,226
Washington 24.89% 9,661 73.33% 28,469 1.78% 691 38,821
Wicomico 34.07% 8,833 64.30% 16,669 1.63% 422 25,924
Worcester 28.85% 5,521 69.35% 13,271 1.80% 345 19,137
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district edit

Hogan won 5 of the state's 8 congressional districts, including 4 that elected Democrats.[87][data verification needed]

District Hogan Brown Representative
1st 77.96% 20.41% Andy Harris
2nd 56.59% 41.27% Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd 54.99% 42.93% John Sarbanes
4th 33.72% 65.16% Donna Edwards
5th 47.23% 51.31% Steny Hoyer
6th 58.27% 39.85% John Delaney
7th 38.30% 59.58% Elijah Cummings
8th 49.71% 48.70% Chris Van Hollen

See also edit

References edit

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  82. ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  83. ^ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  84. ^ "2014 Elections Map – 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  85. ^ a b c d e Shawn Quinn (L)
  86. ^ "Official 2014 Gubernatorial General Election results for Governor / Lt. Governor". State Board of Elections, Maryland. Retrieved September 21, 2017.
  87. ^ "2018 Election Results". Maryland State Board of Elections. Retrieved July 9, 2018.

External links edit

Official campaign websites (archived)


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